TTA’s Waiting for Spring: M&A action with Transcarent, VillageMD, WW; Theranos investor restitution; UKTelehealthcare events; Best Buy’s hospital-to-home, more!

 

 

Weekly Alert

Not a lot of articles, but a lot of news. A busy M&A week for a change with Transcarent, VillageMD, and WW buys. Will Theranos’ investors see a penny in restitution? All while prison dates loom for Holmes and Balwani. Plus digital switchover/TECS meetings courtesy of UKTelehealthcare, Best Buy’s move into hospital-at-home, and Color pop health/testing says bye to 300.

News roundup: Transcarent buys 98point6’s virtual care; Best Buy-Atrium hospital-at-home; Walgreens/VillageMD buys another practice group; WW-Sequence digital weight management; UKTelehealthcare events; 300 out at Color
Did Theranos collapse because of Holmes’ criminal conduct? Holmes says no–and no to investors’ claims (The restitution debate ensues–and the defendant’s accounts are empty)

A short time to spring, but a bleak week of multiple reckonings.  Comeuppances range from the failing VA EHR rollout to former high-flyers Bright Health and Cerebral flirting with failure. FTC now wields a Lizzie Borden-worthy ax on DTC online health. Past the hype, Oak Street and One Medical show their downsides. One CEO thought insider trading was OK in 2021! Yet a few hopeful daffodils push through, like Theranica, Walmart Health, and Pixel Watch’s hard fall alert.

Week’s end roundup: Theranica clears, Pixel Watch fall alert, Veradigm delays, Walmart adding 40+ clinics by 2024, Bright Health’s dim future, Ontrak founder charged with insider trading
FTC takes off the gloves: $7.8M fine for Teladoc’s BetterHelp, warns Amazon (and everyone else) on One Medical patient privacy (Call the lawyers)
More VA-Oracle Cerner fallout? Deputy secretary, EHR executive director depart agency (More setbacks and delays in store?)
More gimlety views on CVS-Oak Street Health, Amazon-One Medical acquisitions (Some needed reconsideration going on)
Mid-week roundup: another hurdle for Oracle Cerner VA delay, Walmart builds out clinic infrastructure, Cerebral round 3 layoff of 15%, Evolent Health’s 9% layoff, Quil Health age-in-place tech shuts

A Magic 8 Ball of a week. Amazon-One Medical cheered–but is FTC eyeing them for a wider antitrust suit? Teladoc’s financials continue cloudy. David wins one against Goliath with AliveCor’s ITC review win. Theranos’ Balwani and mom x 2 Holmes appeal as coming appointments with Club Fed near. UHG widens its home care footprint with LHC Group. And is a PBC model a good one for your company?

Should your healthcare organization become a public benefit corporation (PBC)? (A business model that may fit your purpose)
News roundup: UHG closes $5.4B LHC deal, Teladoc’s record $13.7B ’22 loss, Olive AI divesting UM, Cigna exec can’t join CVS, VA anti-suicide program awards, Equiva-Infiniti ACP initiative, Newel Health’s Parkinson’s device
Breaking: Amazon closes One Medical $3.9B buy, despite loose ends–and is the Antitrust Bear being poked? (A contrarian and very gimlety view)
Theranos’ Balwani seeks to remain free during appeal, argues he owes nothing in restitution (updated for Holmes appeal) (Club Fed nears for both)
Breaking: AliveCor wins presidential review on ITC Final Determination on Apple patent infringement (David v. Goliath go on to the PTAB)

Revelations and reorganizations this week. Babylon’s Parsa admits the SPAC was cracked after all. GoodRx’s whacking on ad trackers only the FTC’s first strike. Skepticism reigns about CVS’ buy of Oak Street Health–and Amazon’s One Medical. Avaya has a Chapter 11 reorg and a few more companies lay off to get by. But keeping the blue side up–companies are still getting funding, a lovely Valentine tribute to Dame Esther Rantzen–and we’ve secured a tidy discount to ATA for our Readers.

ATA 2023 Annual Conference 4-6 March–a special deal for our Readers (ATA, San Antonio, for $250 less!)
Short takes: Avaya’s Ch. 11; Aetna sells India telehealth; fundings for IncludeHealth, Senniors, Thatch, Previa, MDI; layoffs at Collective Health, Vicarious, Olive AI (Our best to Avaya and those seeking work)
A Valentine’s Day tribute to Dame Esther Rantzen (Silver Line UK’s mover & shaker)
Is CVS’ Oak Street Health deal genius? Or a waste of time and $10B? (The skeptics are out for this one)
Mid-week news roundup: Parsa admits Babylon SPAC was ‘big mistake’, FTC’s strategy on GoodRx action, Oracle signs Accenture for VA training, Constellation delays ’22 reports, Emirates Health launches Care.ai and Digital Twin

This was the week the bills came due. DTC telehealth companies now under Federal scrutiny for monetizing patient data via ad trackers. Amazon’s One Medical buy further blocked–are health practices the right move facing a $2.7B loss? Football players pay the butcher’s bill with high rates of CTE. NHS Digital’s bill is that their magic tech fails nurses in the field. And Oak Street Health, facing the red ink bill, took the $10B deal from CVS. 

Digital technology falling (even) short(er) in NHS nursing: QNI report (UK) (When you are failing the nurses in the field, you have a problem, London)
Ad tracker action heats up: Congress questions DTC telehealth companies on sensitive patient health data sent to advertisers (No such thing as free money, and the bill is coming due)
Chronic traumatic encephalopathy (CTE) found in over 90% of deceased NFL player brains: BU study (We return to a past, heavily covered topic in time for Super Bowl)
CVS opens the checkbook, does the Oak Street Health deal for a generous $10.6B (Latest in CVS-Walgreens-UHG war–and DOJ waits in wings)
Amazon gets all tangled up on their $3.9B One Medical buy as FTC widens antitrust scrutiny (Will Amazon stay with it, given their losses?)

Can VA’s Oracle Cerner Millenium Be Saved in the looming Congressional Showdown? Can Congress save telehealth expansion? Can healthcare be saved from relentless cyber attacks? And can Matt Hancock be saved from his run of Bad Luck? Much more this week, plus a Must Read on Teladoc’s mishandled Livongo buy.

Week-end roundup: more House actions on telehealth benefits, VA EHR; Oracle exec moves to FDA digital health; Angle Health raises $58M; layoffs at Akili, Innovaccer, Athenahealth, Mindstrong
News roundup: GoodRx pays $1.5M to FTC on Meta Pixel use, ATA concerns on Covid PHE end, defending Livongo sale to Teladoc, Philips lays off 18K, Amazon health layoffs–and big ’22 loss, Ireland HSE digital head quits, Matt Hancock assaulted on Tube 
Killnet racks up 22 more healthcare cybervictims and data thefts; whitepaper on best defense practices (Cyberattacks are inevitable)
Pull the plug on Oracle Cerner in the VA! Two House Representatives urge return to VistA, send bill to Veterans’ Affairs committee (Back to the drawing board?)

A potpourri of news this week from Google’s antitrust lawsuit (and 6% layoff) to Dollar General’s clinic pilot with DocGo mobile vans. Ransomware attacks by AlphV/BlackCat fizzled and the DOJ knocked out Hive. Significant research on micro samples of blood and post-traumatic biomarkers published. Oracle has more VA/MHS problems, engineering head departs. Some funding and grants. And did Elizabeth Holmes really attempt to flee the country?

Rounding out week: Oracle Health engineering head departs; Hive ransomware KO’d by DOJ; Google sued by DOJ on antitrust, lays off another 12,000; Pearl and Precision Neuro raise, Enabled Healthcare ADAPT grant
Mid-week news roundup: CVS Health Virtual Primary Care launches, VA’s two-day Oracle Cerner EHR slowdown, and microsampling blood + wearables for multiple tests (Not quite a return for the Theranos concept)
Healthcare cyberattack latest: NextGen EHR ransomwared by AlphV/BlackCat, back to normal – 93% of healthcare orgs had 1-5 ransomware incidents (Expect more of this–it’s a movable war)
Using wearables to monitor biomarkers related to neuropsychiatric symptoms post-traumatic event (Significant research)
Theranos Holmes trial updates: did she book a one-way flight to Mexico last year, or were the prosecutors reckless and wrong? (You decide)
CVS, Walgreens, Walmart….Dollar General health clinics? (A low-risk toe in the clinic water)

It must be Mid-Winter Blues, but the news was fairly light this week–even from the JPMorgan health conference, a soggy SFO affair indeed. (At least the streets were cleaned.) Babylon feels ‘misunderstood’, Teladoc lays off 6%. CVS keeps funding and KillNet keeps threatening IT Havoc. Good news from UKTelehealthcare with TECS help for the digital switchover. Plus ISfTeH’s annual meeting now set for Winnipeg and news from ATA.

Industry org news: ISfTeH International Conference call for presentations, new leaders for ATA Policy Council (Good news!)
UKTelehealthcare launches TECS consultancy in partnership with TECS Advisory (Expert help on the digital switch)
Interesting pickups from JPM on CVS, Talkspace, Veradigm backs Holmusk, ‘misunderstood’ Babylon Health; six takeaways (News from a damp, dreary, insane JPM)
Teladoc laying off 6%, reducing real estate, in move to “balanced growth” and profitability (Nice move if they can do it)
‘KillNet’ Russian hacktivist group targeting US, UK health info in Ukraine revenge: HHS HC3 report (Healthcare becomes a side battle)

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Telehealth & Telecare Aware: covering the news on latest developments in telecare, telehealth, telemedicine, and health tech, worldwide–thoughtfully and from the view of fellow professionals

Thanks for asking for update emails. Please tell your colleagues about this news service and, if you have relevant information to share with the rest of the world, please let me know.

Donna Cusano, Editor In Chief
donna.cusano@telecareaware.com

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News roundup: Transcarent buys 98point6’s virtual care; Best Buy-Atrium hospital-at-home; Walgreens/VillageMD buys another practice group; WW-Sequence digital weight management; UKTelehealthcare events; 300 out at Color

Enterprise health navigator Transcarent is buying 98point6’s virtual care platform and related assets. 98point6’s tech is a text-based virtual care platform that uses an AI chatbot to collect and relay health information to a provider. According to CEO Glen Tullman’s interview with Forbes, the assets picked up in addition to the tech include 98point6’s physician group, self-insured employer business, and an irrevocable software license in a deal worth potentially $100 million. This fits in Transcarent’s platform that works with large employers to steer their employees to higher quality, lower cost care settings based on actual users only in risk-based agreements, versus the more common per member per month care management model. 98point6 will continue in a leaner form, licensing its software to third parties, but out of the treatment business. Its major relationship is with MultiCare Health System in Washington state. 98point6 had raised over $260 million from 2015 through a 2020 Series E.  Mobihealthnews

Best Buy Health is providing telehealth equipment and installation to North Carolina-based Atrium Health’s hospital-at-home program. In the three-year deal, Best Buy’s Geek Squad will install peripherals based on the patient’s needs, transmitted through a Current Health telehealth mobile connectivity hub and using their software. Terms were naturally not specified, but Atrium is purchasing the devices from Best Buy. The Geek Squad services serve for both installation and retrieval after care. Atrium is paid via insurance including Medicare and Medicaid. Atrium, part of Ascension Health, has 10 hospitals in the program already and is aiming for 100 patients in the program each day. CNBC

VillageMD expands again, adds Starling Physicians in Connecticut. Starling has 30 primary care and multi-specialty practices, including cardiology, ophthalmology, endocrinology, and geriatric care. VillageMD’s total is now over 700 locations. Transaction costs were not disclosed. VillageMD has been on an acquisition tear, powered by Walgreens’ and Evernorth-Cigna funding for Summit Health, Family and Internal Medicine Associates in central Kentucky, and Dallas (Texas) Internal Medicine and Geriatric Specialists. HealthcareFinance, Healthcare Dive.

WW (the former Weight Watchers) has an agreement to acquire Sequence, a subscription telehealth platform for clinical weight management. Sequence is targeted to healthcare providers specializing in clinical care, lifestyle modification, and medication management for patients being treated for overweight and obesity. It also manages the navigation of insurance approvals. Terms were not disclosed, but Sequence since going live in 2021 serves 24,000 members and has a $25 million annual revenue run-rate business. WW is building out a clinical weight management pathway and intends to tailor a nutrition program for this segment. Release

UKTelehealthcare has an upcoming digital event, TECS Innovation Showcase 2 on Wednesday 15th March 2023 (10:30-12:30 GMT). Also, there are links to the webinars given during today’s event, TECS Innovation Showcase 1, January’s Analogue to Digital Transformation Update, and several more. Register for the 15 March event and links/passwords for previous events here or click on the UKTelehealthcare advert at the right and go to the Events page. These events concentrate on the analogue-digital switchover and TECS in the UK.

Color, a population health technology company that expanded into Covid-19 testing and later telemental health during the pandemic, is now laying off 300. Their CEO Othman Laraki confirmed in a post on LinkedIn (which seems to be a corporate communications trend) that this reflects decreased demand for Covid testing and the end of the public health emergency. Their future direction will be in distributed testing and telehealth for government programs and prevention tools for employers and large healthcare companies. The CEO’s post included a spreadsheet of the laid-off individuals including links to their LinkedIn profiles and desired positions, another corporate trend in addition to those laid off posting about it almost immediately. It seemed to be heavy on software engineers, data scientists, support leads, and product managers.

The company pivoted from genomics to public health with major Series D and E raises of $167 and $100 million respectively in 2021, totaling $482 million since start in 2014, and was valued at $4.6 billion by November 2021. It bought into behavioral health services with the acquisition of Mood Lifters, an online guided group support system, in 2022. The (happy) decline of Covid is affecting testing-dependent businesses across the board. Lucira Health, which had received a EUA for its combination Covid/flu testing, filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy reorganization in February.  Beckers, Mobihealthnews 3 Mar, 27 Feb

Mid-week news briefs: House members’ ‘grave concerns’ on two deaths tied to Oracle Cerner VA rollout; care.ai’s $27M funding; Clear Arch’s new mobile RPM platform; digital health investment in rough times

A pre-Thanksgiving news roundup in this short week.

More miseries for Oracle Cerner’s VA rollout. This week, three House members sent a letter to the Department of Veterans Affairs (VA). After a 2 September visit to the Chalmers P. Wylie VA Ambulatory Care Center in Columbus, Ohio and interviewing the staff, they determined that the Cerner Millenium EHR as currently in use possibly led to the deaths of two veteran patients. The deaths were due to 1) hypoxia after an antibiotic ordered for mail delivery was never tracked nor received, leading to a decline in the patient’s condition; and 2) alcohol withdrawal symptoms after a patient’s missed appointment was lost in the EHR and not rescheduled, leading to his decline and death several months later. The three Representatives are asking Denis McDonough, the Department secretary, for answers on the processes and problems that led to this, and more. They are Mike Bost, R-Ill., Mike Carey, R-Ohio, and Troy Balderson, R-Ohio. Becker’s

care.ai, a system that uses sensor-based AI for care facilities, secured $27 million in venture funding from Crescent Cove Advisors. care.ai’s sensors and their Smart Care Facility Platform are currently used in 1,500 facilities in the US to automate, monitor, and streamline clinical and operational workflows in hospitals, skilled nursing facilities, and assisted living facilities. care.ai plans to use the funding from Crescent Cove Advisors to build on their ongoing operations and deliver ambient intelligence to healthcare. Release, Mobihealthnews

Clear Arch Health is introducing a new RPM mobile app, Clear Arch Mobile, as an alternative to its current tablet-based system. It connects via Bluetooth to devices and is based on the LifeStream Clinical Monitoring Dashboard by enhancing security (with two-factor authentication) and simplifying the collection and transmission of patient data for clinician assessment and intervention, as needed. LifeStream was acquired by Clear Arch earlier this year with their buy of Life Care Solutions. Clear Arch is a division of MobileHelp. Both were acquired by Advocate Aurora Enterprises in April. Release (PDF)

How to cope with the transition from easy funding to showing investors that they are squeezing every dime? That was the topic of a roundtable of investors at HLTH last week. One major problem was that the 2020-21 influx of capital boosted valuations to unrealistic and unsustainable levels, leading to unrealistic expectations for growth and moving into businesses that weren’t core. The advice was bracing from investor luminaries such as Glen Tullman of 7Wire Ventures/Transcarent, Emily Melton of Threshold Ventures, Andrew Adams of Oak HC/FT; and Krishna Yeshwant of Google Ventures.

  • Don’t focus on valuation. Focus on how much capital your enterprise needs to the next phase of inflection, minimize dilution, and set yourself up for the next up round.
  • Refocus and reprioritize, making the most of cash resources on hand
  • Have a plan to get to profitability, not just growth
  • Even more depressing news: the downturn is expected to continue through 2023 into 2024 — make cash last into 2025

Growth areas in healthcare they identified will be familiar: mental health, senior care and primary care –one is not, the Medicaid space. Mobihealthnews

Connecting JPM and CES dots: Babylon Health tripling revenue in ’22 to $1 billion–how? And Bosch tiptoes back into healthcare.

Dig for dots with your Editor….Babylon Health used their JPM forum last week to announce that with some US agreements signed, they expect by the end of this month to top $80 million per month, closing in on $1 billion this year, based on signing US value-based care agreements. The US agreements add an estimated 88,000 organic new members, bringing global managed lives to over 440,000. The $1 billion in revenue is nearly triple their 2021 preliminary closing revenue of $321 million. Interestingly, the US agreements were not specified in the release.

Does this tie in with the Higi acquisition [TTA 7 Jan], or are there others? Looking back on the Higi buy, we see one of the investors coming over from Higi is Glen Tullman, CEO of Transcarent and Managing Partner of VC 7wireVentures. His comments about Babylon in that release glow:

“Babylon’s innovative value and risk sharing models fit well with market leaders and innovators, including Transcarent, because they believe that, with the appropriate use of technology, data science, and good old-fashioned clinical care, you can impact the member satisfaction and quality of care, while, at the same time, reducing costs. This is the formula everyone has been searching for and the combination of Higi and Babylon bring us all one step closer.”

Higi is not large enough (though they claim ‘millions’) to boost Babylon’s revenues into the stratosphere, but some of Transcarent’s business very well might.

  • Transcarent earlier acquired BridgeHealth, a surgical and value-based benefits provider claiming 1 million members.
  • In October, Transcarent inked an agreement with Walmart to provide services for self-insured employers linking them to Walmart’s, including drug prescriptions.
  • Transcarent is on a funding roll of its own, with its own announcement at JPM in landing a $200 million Series C.

We’ll see if this Editor’s dots connect correctly….

Remember Bosch and health tech? Bosch was one of the ur-companies in remote patient monitoring with Health Hero/Health Buddy plus other telehealth/telecare businesses. Once upon an early 2010s time, they were a major supplier to VA Home Telehealth along with Viterion, Cardiocom, and Medtronic. After multiple setbacks, rounded up by TTA here, they exited European telehealth/telecare in January 2015 and shuttered Health Buddy six months later. So it’s déjà vu all over again to see Bosch technology used in a three-way project with Highmark Health in Pennsylvania and their Pediatric Institute of Allegheny Health Network (AHN) in Pittsburgh. AHN will be using Bosch’s SoundSee sensor-based tech to capture patient breathing audio that is then analyzed via Bosch’s proprietary AI and machine learning to detect pediatric pulmonary conditions. Clinical studies at AHN will be starting this quarter. Bosch’s Intelligent IoT group responsible for SoundSee is located at Bosch Research in Pittsburgh. Bosch has patented SoundSee for multiple applications in industrial and healthcare monitoring. Release, FierceHealthcare

Buried in the release is Bosch’s other step back into health tech. Vivatmo me, a breath-gas analyzer device that allows patients to accurately determine levels of inflammation, documenting them via an app–a very interesting concept–has been commercially available from March 2020 in Germany and Austria. It may be introduced in the US.

Short takes: rounding up revenue and acquisition action during JPM

The  JP Morgan conference (JPM), which wrapped on Thursday, is traditionally a major venue for healthcare announcements, from revenue to staff to investments. Having never attended but harboring a secret desire to observe (as a poor churchmouse on the wall–no fly am I) the 1% doing their thing, this Editor cannot imagine how boring it must be in virtual format. 

Here are a few highlights: the important, kind of interesting, and not too tedious.

  • Teladoc projects full-year 2021 revenue to hit $2.03 billion, nearly doubling its 2020 revenue. 2022’s projection is about $2.6 billion. It’s revenue without profitability, however. Teladoc lost $84.3 million Q3 2021, which more than doubled its PY $36 million loss. As we noted in our earlier article, Teladoc, like every other telehealth company, saw its shares plummet in 2021 as patients returned to offices and telehealth claims plunged to 4%, mostly for behavioral health. FierceHealthcare
  • Transcarent, Glen Tullman of Livongo’s ‘encore’ company, has landed a $200 million Series C and is now valued at $1.62 billion. Transcarent’s market is self-insured employers and provides a care management model focusing on personalized health and care support for employees. Kinnevik and Human Capital led investors and were joined by Ally Bridge Group, General Catalyst, 7wireVentures, and health systems Northwell Health, Intermountain Healthcare, and Rush University Medical Center. Release
  • Boston-based Medically Home, which supplies hospital-to-home support and integrates technology services, nabbed a $110 million venture round from investors Baxter International Inc., Global Medical Response, Cardinal Health, Mayo Clinic, and Kaiser Permanente. To date, they have worked with 7,000 patients. Release 
  • DexCare, a platform-as-a-service (PaaS) that ‘orchestrates’ digital demand and health system capacity, closed a $50 million Series B funding led by Transformation Capital, with participation from Kaiser Permanente, Providence Ventures, Mass General Brigham, Define Ventures, Frist Cressey Ventures, and SpringRock Ventures. Release
  • Mental health/meditation app provider Headspace Health acquired startup Sayana to build out AI capabilities in mental health and wellness. Its self-care app leverages chat-based sessions with an AI persona. Terms were not disclosed, but Sayana CEO/founder Sergey Fayfer will join Headspace in a product leader role. Headspace acquired rival Ginger back in August [TTA 27 Aug]. FierceHealthcare, release

Headspace is also facing a shareholder lawsuit on securities fraud after going public in a $1.4 billion SPAC deal. According to FierceHealthcare, the charges filed 7 January center on non-disclosure in their financials of critical growth headwinds, including increased advertising and customer acquisition costs and worsening growth and gross margin trends. They also overvalued its accounts receivable from certain health plan clients. Coupled with management turmoil–their president/COO resigned after a ‘conduct’ problem at an offsite event–their share price has plummeted over 80%. Their projection of full-year 2021 revenue was cut to $112 million from $125 million. Headspace, of course, has said the suit is meritless.

  • Aledade, well known to this Editor as an organizer of accountable care organizations (ACOs) and a management services organization (MSO) for physician groups in value-based care, bought Iris Healthcare. Iris provides advance care and palliative care planning for health plans and providers for seriously ill and high-risk patients via its network of 1,000 independent primary care practices and health centers. It will be folded into their new Aledade Care Solutions unit. FierceHealthcare, release

A smash Q1 for digital health funding–but the SPAC party may be winding down fast

An Overflowing Tub of Big Funding and Even Bigger Deals. The bubble bath that was Q1 deals and funding is no surprise to our Readers. Your Editor at one point apologized for the often twice-weekly roundups. (Better the Tedium of Deals than COVID and Shutdown, though.)

Rock Health provides a bevy of totals and charts in its usual quarterly summary of US digital health deals.

  • US funding crested $6.7 bn over 147 deals during January through March, more than doubling 2020’s $3.1 bn in Q1 over 107 deals.
  • Trending was on par through February, until it spiked in March with four mega-deals (over $100 million) over two days: Clarify (analytics), Unite Us (SDOH tech), Strive Health (kidney care), and Insitro (drug discovery). These deals also exceeded 2020’s hot Q3 ($4.1 bn) and Q4 ($4.0 bn).
  • Bigger, better. Deals skewed towards the giant economy size. $100 million+ deals represented 66 percent of total Q1 funding
  • Deal sizes in Series B and C were bigger than ever, with a hefty Series B or C not uncommon any more. Series B raises were on average $49 million and C $77 million. One of March’s megadeals was a Series B–Strive Health with a $140 million Series B [TTA 18 Mar].
  • Series A deal size barely kept up with inflation, languishing in the $12 to $15 million range since 2018.
  • Hot sectors were a total turnaround from previous years. Mental health, primary care, and substance use disorders, once the ugly ducklings which would get their founders tossed out of cocktail parties, became Cinderellas Before Midnight at #1, #2, and #3 respectively. Oncology, musculoskeletal (MSK), and gastrointestinal filled out the Top 6 list.
  • M&As were also blistering: 57 acquisitions in Q1, versus Q4 2020’s 45

Given the trends and nine months to go, will it blow the doors off 2020’s total funding of $14 bn? It looks like it…but…We invite your predictions in the Comments below.

Les bon temps may rouler, but that cloud you see on the horizon may have SPAC written on it. A quick review: Special Purpose Acquisition Companies (SPACs) typically are public companies that raise money through their own IPOs for the express purpose of buying other companies. Often called a ‘blank check’, they have no purpose other than buying one or two other companies–in the latter case, merging them like the announced Cloudbreak and UpHealth last November–and converting over to the company’s identity and business. The timeframe is usually two years. Essentially, the active company goes public with a minimum of the messy, long, expensive, and revelatory process of filing directly with the SEC (in the US). This quarter, Rock Health’s stat on SPACs was that they raised $83.1 bn this quarter, exceeding by $0.5 bn all SPAC activity in 2020, mainly late in the year. Their count was two SPACs closing in Q1 and 8 more announced but not yet closed (counting Cloudbreak/UpHealth as one).

As an exit door for investors, it’s worked very well–but is dependent on private equity and public investors having confidence in SPACs. One thinning of the bubble may be the scrutiny of Clover Health’s SPAC by the SEC [TTA 9 Feb] over not revealing that they were under investigation by the Department of Justice (DOJ). Certainly this was a material circumstance that could dissuade investors, among other dodgy business practices later unveiled. Mr. Market tells a tale; Clover went public 8 Jan at $15.90 and closed today at $7.61. Their YahooFinance listing has a long list of law firms filing class-action lawsuits on behalf of shareholders.

Clover may be the leading edge of a SPAC bust. SPACs are losing their luster because there are too many going through, jamming bandwidth at the bank and law firm level. As time ticks by and deals are delayed, the private funders of SPACs are growing squeamish, according to this report in National Review’s Capital Note (yes, National Review has a finance newsletter). “In the past two weeks alone, four blank-check deals have been halted, with SPAC shares declining significantly from their highs early this year. The slowdown follows an influx of short-sellers into the opaque financial vehicles and a sell-off in high-profile SPACs such as Churchill Capital Corp IV.” Reasons why: lower quality of companies available to go public via SPAC–the low hanging ripe fruit has been picked–and the last mile in SPACs, which is PIPE funding (private equity-investment-in-public-equity financing) is getting skittish. The last shoe to drop? The SEC in late March announced an investigation into SPACs, making inquiries into several banks seeking information on their SPAC dealings, which is alluded to near the end of the Rock Health report. CNBC  (Read further down into the NR article for a Harvard Business Review dissection of the boom-bust dynamics of ‘controversial practices’ like reverse mergers as a forecast of what may happen to SPACs. Increased popularity led to increased negativity in reverse mergers.)

And speaking of SPACs...Health tech/digital health eyes are upon what Glen Tullman and the ‘late of Livongo’ team will be doing with their SPAC, Health Assurance Acquisition Corp., which is backed by Hemant Taneja’s General Catalyst, also a former Livongo funder. Brian Dolan, who is now publishing Exits and Outcomes. His opinion is their buy will be Color, formerly Color Genomics: opinion piece is here. Messrs Tullman and Taneja are also leading Transcarent, a company that brings together employers, employees, and providers in a seamless, app-driven integrated care model. Forbes

The cool-off in SPACs may burst a few bubbles in the bath–and that may be all to the good in the long term.