TTA’s autumn leaves: Amazon Rx kiosks for One Medical, VillageMD shrinks in TX, Rock Health’s odd take on Q3 investment, Trilliant Health’s dizzying what-ails-healthcare analysis

 

Friday 10 October 2025

Several quick looks at Amazon’s test of pharmacy dispensing kiosks in One Medical clinics, VillageMD’s Texas selloff, and Rock Health’s strangely ambivalent report on Q3 digital health investment. Today’s deeper dive is a Must Read–Trilliant Health’s diagnosis on what ails US healthcare and why a “return to first principles” is badly needed, detailed in a 100+ page free report.

Editor Donna will be taking a short additional hiatus; back w/o 27 October.

Editor Donna’s selective roundup: One Medical’s Amazon Rx kiosks, VillageMD sells off Texas, digital health investment’s Q3 boost

Will “expensive, complex and inefficient” US healthcare respond to six major demographic, cost, supply trends–and recuperate? Or further sicken?

From our last Alert: Editor Donna is back. Here’s the catchup.

Congratulations to James Batchelor MBE (Well Deserved!)

And a read with even more relevance now: Should free-falling UnitedHealth Group be broken up? Or break itself up to survive, before it becomes another GE? (updated) (Not a rant, more a ‘get going’ to avoid disaster!)

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Editor Donna’s selective roundup: One Medical’s Amazon Rx kiosks, VillageMD sells off Texas, digital health investment’s Q3 boost

Amazon keeps trying to integrate healthcare and make One Medical work, using Pharmacy as leverage. Like CVS, Walmart, and Walgreens, Amazon succumbed in 2022 to the Gold Rush of buying up a health clinic network and attempting to integrate primary care delivery into its retail model–after stumbling badly and failing with Amazon Care (2019). While the former have either ditched (Walmart), pivoted (CVS–Oak Street), or spun off their primary care providers (Walgreens–VillageMD/Summit Health), Amazon is testing yet another integration with One Medical, their first being with Amazon Prime.

In its latest tweak, Amazon is delivering limited onsite pharmacy services via a dispensing kiosk to a group of five One Medical offices in the Los Angeles metro. Now Amazon never calls it a test–one has to get about halfway down their release to discover those kiosks won’t be installed till December–but it’s obviously one, with a rollout to other undetermined One Medical offices promised in the sweet bye-and-bye of 2026. The kiosks will dispense common prescription meds in a four-step process: prescription written, sent to Amazon Pharmacy, patient opts for in-office kiosk pickup and payment using their mobile phone to check it out in the Amazon Pharmacy app, and checks it out using a QR code at the kiosk.

Using these five locations (Beverly Hills! West LA!) is an adequate feasibility test, but doesn’t address the piously phrased rationale of 25% of neighborhoods as “pharmacy deserts” and where even in non-desert areas, 51% of patients report delays in filling prescriptions.

The kiosks will be storing basically common Rx meds such as antibiotics, blood pressure medications, and inhalers. 

Where this picture isn’t as revolutionary as my friend Sergei Polevikov maintains in his latest Substack essay (subscription required–and you should; also partially on LinkedIn), it’s another kick in the head for the traditional pharmacy retailers and the PBMs. They are already getting boot impressions by the Hims & Hers virtuals and Big Pharma on GLP-1 and ‘favored nation’ DTC deals. On one side, it reduces friction by making it onsite and easy. But suppose the kiosk doesn’t have my med or it’s out of stock. What do I do once the script is sent and I need to change it? This is also appealing to a younger and/or tech-savvy segment who live on their phone and Amazon apps. Suppose I’m an older patient and apps/QR codes do nothing but confuse me? For Amazon, what about the cost of kiosk installation, cleaning, stocking, monitoring, just like those telehealth kiosks from Forward (CarePods), Higi, and way back HealthSpot Station. They were the future–for five minutes. Apparently there’s also a little regulatory issue of self-dealing referral (hat tip to LinkedIn commenter Ajay Kumar Gupta).  Also Healthcare Dive

VillageMD continues to shrink. The formerly free-standing and co-located Walgreens clinic unit, spun off into a standalone company by Sycamore Partners while I was on medical leave (FierceHealthcare 28 Aug), has sold 32 Texas primary care clinics to Harbor Health, a primary care group and payvider in the Austin area. This adds San Antonio, El Paso, and Dallas as well as more Austin locations. Forbes From a significant almost-national primary and specialty care group, VillageMD is devolving into pieces for sale. One wonders about the extensive Summit Health/CityMD operation, very much tied in with Hackensack Meridian Health that dominates northern New Jersey, and disruption. (Disclosure: my family and I are Summit Health patients)  In other news, Tim Wentworth was replaced as CEO by Mike Motz, from another Sycamore portfolio company. Wentworth remains as director for the time being, undoubtedly working out his retention and various payouts. 

Rock Health breaks the cheerful news that Q3 digital health is an improvement over a dismal 2024 a/k/a 2019. YTD is $9.9 billion, exceeding the $8.4 billion raised through 2024 Q3. Deal size is also trending up: $28.1 million, increasing from $20.4 million in 2024. Where it’s still wobbly is middle-stage investment and anything with a Series letter. Rounds of $100 million plus thrived, with 19 of them accounting for 40% and $3.8 billion of 2025 YTD total funding. I won’t be doing my usual dive into their numbers due to time constraints, but Healthcare Dive summary will do. Rock Health’s Q3 report, usually putting the best foot forward, is weirdly downbeat, calling it ‘signals out of sync’. 

Way out of sync is the continuation of the partial Federal government shutdown, with no mercy on telehealth services and the donkeys doing what donkeys do…refuse to move. 

I’ll be on a short hiatus with no new articles until the week of 27 October.

Short takes: states curbing healthcare cyberattack liability, North Korean hospital ransomwareiste indicted, Walmart leases out 23 clinics to Humana’s CenterWell, Nuro robot delivery revives, $100M Series E for Spring Health

News that class-action specialist law firms won’t like. States are considering limiting hospital cyberattack liability if they adopt cybersecurity measures. Currently, four states–Tennessee, Connecticut, Ohio, and Utah–have laws that curb liability for cyberattacks and data breaches. A fifth state, Florida, is considering it with the governor, Ron DeSantis, pushing for a tougher version to encourage strong cybersecurity adoption. The state lawmakers’ rationale centers on the admission that cyberattacks on hospitals are inevitable and that when hospitals have security in place, they are not negligent. On the opposite side, law firms that specialize in consumer class-action lawsuits argue that hospitals would rather profit than put into place expensive protection for consumer data. 

This Editor’s view tends to be even stronger than that of Governor DeSantis. How can state regulators actually know that a hospital has strong, effective cybersecurity? Hospitals not only have to spend money to constantly update their monitoring, but also have to hire the humans to implement it. In other words, what people or agency on the state level can assess that a hospital or health system has adequate cybersecurity in place and is acting in good faith to protect consumers against predatory data breaches or ransomware? The article in Politico is unfortunately very scant on how these laws work, the liability limitations, and the mechanisms for judging hospital cybersecurity. More to come on this. Also DataBreaches.net–this Editor’s go-to spot for research.

A North Korean ransomwareiste indicted, but he’ll be hard to serve if convicted.  A grand jury in the Federal District Court for the District of Kansas has indicted Rim Jong Hyok of ransomware attacks on 17 hospitals and systems across 11 states plus attacks on government entities from May 2021 through April 2023. The US Department of Justice (DOJ) charge is that Mr. Rim was working for the North Korean intelligence agency, the Reconnaissance General Bureau (RGB), in a cyberhacking group known as Andariel. Andariel developed the Maui ransomware type and used it to attack healthcare and governmental entities.  The ransoms collected from the hospitals were then used to fund cyber attacks and data exfiltration on government agencies, military bases, and multiple companies supporting the US military. The State Department is offering a reward of up to $10 million to locate Rim and others infiltrating US systems. It is highly unlikely that even with a conviction, Rim will serve any US time, but a conviction could initiate sanctions and other national measures. FierceHealthcare, US District Court indictment, US State Department ‘Rewards for Justice’ release

Walmart gives Humana a crack at reopening in-store clinics. After their well-publicized failure in retail health, Walmart is leasing out nearly half of their former Supercenter clinics over to Humana’s CenterWell healthcare services operation. By first half 2025, 23 of the 51 closed Walmart Health clinics in Florida, Georgia, Missouri, and Texas will convert to CenterWell Senior Primary Care and Conviva Care Centers. The focus will be on senior coordinated care with a staff of board-certified physicians, nurse practitioners, medical assistants, social workers, and other staff. Clinics are planned for Tampa/St Petersburg, Orlando, Jacksonville, Atlanta, Dallas/Fort Worth, and Kansas City. Medicare Advantage plans and Original Medicare will be accepted, though no mention is made of the ‘duals’ who are on both Medicare and Medicaid. Walmart will continue to operate pharmacy and optical locations. The CenterWell/Conviva network at present serves 318,000 seniors in about 300 centers across 15 states. Financial terms of the agreement were not disclosed. In retrospect, they should have done this several years ago. CenterWell release, MedCityNews

Another revival–the Nuro robot vehicle delivery service. Some years back, these driverless cars were envisioned to carry everything from pharmacy deliveries to groceries to prepared food, but the robot vehicles had problematic fully autonomous driving software that proved to be unsuitable for crowded urban areas as well as satisfactorily retrofitting or specially designed EVs. Now in another AI-assisted generation with the R3, about 100 retrofitted Toyota Priuses able to go up to 45 mph will be tested in the California Bay Area in Mountain View, Palo Alto, Los Altos, and Menlo Park. Other vehicles to be upgraded to the new software are from Chinese EV manufacturer BYD, which has become famous for exploding cars in its home market. Timing after the California Motor Vehicle approval now is set for Uber Eats deliveries in test in early fall. TechCrunch

Telemental health fundings continue on a roll with Spring Health. Their $100 million Series E has increased their valuation from $2.5 billion to $3.3 billion. This round was led by Generation Investment Management with participation from existing investors, including Kinnevik, William K Warren Foundation, RRE, and Northzone. Their $71 million Series D was in drought-ridden April 2023. Their total funding now is $466.5 million. Spring Health’s concentration is in mental health support and care management as part of employer benefits and for payers, covering 10 million lives through 450 directly contracted employers, strategic payer relationships, and 27,000 groups that access the solution through a channel partner. As noted in Rock Health’s H1 report [TTA 30 July], the competitive telemental health category still leads by far as the most funded clinical category, with about $700 million in raises, over double that of cardiovascular and oncology, and will likely surpass 2023. Release, Mobihealthnews, FierceHealthcare

Mid-week roundup: another hurdle for Oracle Cerner VA delay, Walmart builds out clinic infrastructure, Cerebral round 3 layoff of 15%, Evolent Health’s 9% layoff, Quil Health age-in-place tech shuts

Oracle Cerner EHR rollout faces yet another hurdle. The Department of  Veterans Affairs (VA) announced that the next go-live, Ann Arbor (Michigan) Healthcare System, originally scheduled for completion by July 2023, would be delayed until much later this year or even early 2024.  It turns out that a key reason for the delay is that Ann Arbor is a VA research center, and there are major concerns that the EHR changeover won’t blend well with their medical research. VA Under Secretary for Health Dr. Shereef Elnahal told FedScoop during a media roundtable that “…there are many VA medical centers that are heavy with clinical research because of their academic affiliations, and so those centers will need this research functionality. It’s not just an issue with the Ann Arbor Hospital.” In the article, Dr. Elnahal also lamented that the VA health system running on two separate EHRs, VistA and Oracle Cerner, presented additional risks to security. Also FedHealthIT   Hat tip to HISTalk 24 Feb

Walmart’s 32 clinics are building out their infrastructure. Working with their Epic EHR, all the clinics are now operating on the Horizon Cloud on Azure platform paired with VMware cloud infrastructure and digital workspace technology services. A blog published by VMware interviewing BreAnne Buehl, director of life sciences solutions for VMware, and David Rhew, MD, global chief medical officer at Microsoft, details the ambitions of Walmart to move beyond ‘minute clinic’ to broader primary care and chronic disease management, into proactive predictive analytics. Becker’s Hospital Review, VMWare

And on the less cheerful side:

  • Beleaguered telemental health/ADHD provider/prescriber Cerebral announced another 15% layoff, cutting 285 people. It is its third layoff in one year, following a 20% cut last October.  Cerebral is also closing its medication-assisted treatment (MAT) program for opioid use disorder (OUD). A Cerebral spokesperson said the decisions were made to reorganize the company to “refocus on the most important service offerings for our patients.” Another reason for the MAT program closing is the pending renewal of requiring in-person visits for certain mental health medications. For instance, the Drug Enforcement Agency (DEA) is proposing that buprenorphine can be prescribed via telehealth for treating OUD for 30 days but then an in-person exam would be required.  Last year, Cerebral faced still-unresolved DOJ and FTC actions on their telehealth prescribing of ADHD and other controlled Schedule 2 medications, from deceptive advertising (FTC) to overprescribing (DOJ) [TTA 18 Nov 22]. Topping this off are dueling lawsuits with former CEO Kyle Robertson [TTA 30 Nov 22]. Cerebral at the end of 2021 was valued at $4.8 billion by Softbank and other investors, but no one wants to talk about its worth today.  Reuters, Layoffs Tracker, Behavioral Health Business
  • Payer/provider management services organization Evolent Health quietly laid off 460 positions in its Chicago operations, about 9% of their 5,100 person staff, starting in December 2022 into last month.  Their Q4 net loss doubled to $11.25 million on $382 million in revenue, doubling 2021’s $5.65 million loss, though full year 2022 closed with a final loss of $19 million, about half of 2021. The company projects Q1 revenue of $420 million to $440 million, with 2023 revenue of $1.92 billion to $1.96 billion with a shift of emphasis to specialty care, bolstered by its closed acquisition in January of Magellan Specialty Health from Centene. Layoffs Tracker, Washington Business Journal
  • Quil Health shut down operations, with employees departing 10 February and executives 24 February. The Philadelphia-based Comcast-Independence Blue Cross joint venture was founded in 2018 to support older adults and caregivers in ‘aging-in-place’ alert and monitoring technology. The sole report in HISTalk states that the website is offline plus their CEO Carina Edwards updated her LinkedIn profile for Quil with a February 2023 end date and changed the company description to past tense, pushing up her board positions. Their Facebook page is still live but no posts after 16 January after announcing their joining the AARP AgeTechCollaborative. In 2019, this Editor wrote that they were developing pre- and post-care support through TV (!) with Comcast working on an ambient sensor-based device to monitor basic vital signs and fall detection, which launched in 2020 as Quil Assure. To this Editor, it sounded like a home version of QuietCare circa 2009 with multiple sensors and diagnostics. 

Is CVS’ Oak Street Health deal genius? Or a waste of time and $10B?

A sample of the split opinion. In the buccaneering between CVS and Walgreens, plus Walmart and Amazon, to add primary care, CVS definitely buckled the swash with three deals: Signify Health (being questioned by DOJ and FTC) [TTA 21 Oct 22 latest], a $100 million investment in Carbon Health [TTA 11 Jan], and Oak Street Health [TTA 9 Feb]. These are in line with their strategy of acquiring companies to expand their capabilities in primary care, provider enablement, and home health. The wisdom of the first–primary care–is being questioned by a few in healthcare. 

The basic argument is that primary care is money-losing, ‘unless you have significant ancillary revenue and downstream referral income’ according to Randy Davis, vice president and CIO of CGH Medical Center, based in Sterling, Illinois. Oak Street’s Medicare Advantage business is also money-losing because of its dependence on increasing severity scores (risk adjustment) and is generally an ‘uphill battle’. This Editor will add that as previously noted–and lauded in CVS’ release–Oak Street is notable for serving underserved patient populations–50 percent of Oak Street Health’s patients have a housing, food, or isolation risk factor. That equates to greater expenses that may or may not be reimbursable. Oak Street certainly has proven the money-losing part, forecasting a loss of $200 million for 2023 and not projecting a profit until 2025. Mr. Davis was blunt, calling it a deal that made no sense and “CVS better have a plan they implement in 18 months or they’ll get slaughtered.”

Another rap on the deal is that it is not big enough. Given the size of Oak Street at about 169 offices and the national figure is quoted as 600,000 ambulatory sites, it’s tiny. However, what isn’t considered is Aetna’s existing relationships with primary care physicians through ACOs formed as joint arrangements, and if Signify Health goes through, the Signify/Caravan ACOs. In fact, this may be a factor in the DOJ/FTC consideration of antitrust.

Others see opportunity in integrating primary care into CVS’ retail locations (Carbon Health) and serving historically underserved communities–much the same tack that Walgreens is taking with VillageMD (acquiring Summit Health) and Walmart with Walmart Health clinics. Becker’s Hospital Review

And as to Amazon, this Editor’s prediction is that Amazon will strike its Jolly Roger and sail away from the One Medical buy.

News roundup: Babylon Health Q3 revenue up 3.9x; surprise–DOJ to appeal UHG-Change buy approval; Walmart loses senior health exec Pegus to JPM

Earlier this month, Babylon Health announced its Q3 financials. Both revenue and value-based care membership grew. Losses also grew but the margins narrowed considerably. Highlights of their release:

Comparing Q3 2022 to Q3 2021

  • Revenue increased by $288.9 million versus $74.5 million, an increase of $214.4 million or 3.9x. This was largely driven by a 285% increase in Medicare membership.
  • Losses were there but margins improved due to aggressive cost reductions. Q3 loss was $89.9 million, or a 31.1% loss for the Period Margin (percent of revenue). Last year’s loss was $66 million, or 88.6% Period Margin. This represented an improvement of 57 points. When looking at EBITDA, Adjusted EBITDA totaled $(54.3) million, an (18.8)% Adjusted EBITDA Margin. This compared to last year’s $(47.5) million Adjusted EBITDA, or (63.7)% Adjusted EBITDA Margin, an improvement of 45 points.
  • Value-based care membership grew 2.7x to approximately 271,000
  • They acquired Medicare Advantage members in New Mexico, and commercial members via a digital-first product for Centene’s Ambetter plans in six states
  • In the UK, their Bupa partnership was extended for three years. Bupa has 2.3 million health insurance customers.

For year 2022, Babylon is updating its revenue guidance from $1.0 billion or greater to $1.05 billion to $1.1 billion.

Babylon is selling Meritage Medical Network, an independent physician association (IPA) based in Northern and Central California with 1,800 providers in six counties serving 90,000 patients, advised by  a major investment bank. They will also comply with SEC reporting requirements for a domestic issuer versus previously as a foreign private issue. Babylon will report its Q4 and 2022 yearend results under U.S. GAAP. They are also proceeding with a 25-to-1 reverse stock split to boost share price and prevent a NYSE delisting [TTA 13 Oct]. Mobihealthnews

The Department of Justice (DOJ) wiped egg off its face Friday, appealing the District Court of the District of Columbia approval in late September of UnitedHealth Group’s acquisition of Change Healthcare. The two companies closed on the buy in early October. DOJ was joined in the appeal by New York and Minnesota. The surprising appeal, after six weeks and the closing, is unusual but not unprecedented. At the time, the DOJ statement was written so that industry observers expected an appeal.

While the merger is closed, an appealed decision, if favorable to the DOJ, would force a separation of the businesses. Of course, UHG believes that “the appeal is without merit.” Stay tuned to see if this goes anywhere. Becker’s, Healthcare Dive

Walmart loses another healthcare exec. Cheryl Pegus, MD, will be departing Walmart as EVP of health and wellness and joining Morgan Health as a managing director. At Morgan, she will be focusing on population-based health initiatives and bringing clinical expertise to mental health, diabetes, and other chronic diseases. She is also joining Atria, a physician-owned organization of heart specialists.

During two years at Walmart, Dr. Pegus helmed development of a low-cost private brand analog insulin, expanded Walmart’s retail health center network across major markets, and the company’s pandemic response. Morgan Health was set up in 2021 to improve the quality, affordability, and equity of employer-sponsored healthcare. It has opened advanced primary care centers in Ohio. JPM a few weeks ago opened a Life Sciences Private Capital group [TTA 2 Nov]. Becker’s, Healthcare Dive

Walmart, despite their size, has had a certain wobbliness in their strategy. Aggressively starting out of the gate in 2018 with high-profile exec Sean Slovenski leading and plans to open up 1,000 clinics, he departed in 2020 and that put the brakes on the clinic strategy for awhile. In 2021, they bought privately held telehealth provider MeMD. Earlier this year, they announced the opening of more health ‘superstores’ in Florida, having established 20 in Arkansas, Illinois, and Georgia starting in 2019. Meanwhile, Walgreens is going big with VillageMD and its acquisition of Summit Health, and CVS Health is snapping up Signify Health to expand into value-based care and home health.

Babylon Health exits last NHS hospital contract as a ‘distraction’, looks to US market for growth

Babylon Health’s rollercoaster ride continues. Today’s news was that their last of three NHS Trust contracts, with Royal Wolverhampton NHS Trust (RWT), was ended by Babylon two years into a ten-year contract. This follows the end of two other contracts that drew a fair amount of controversy (see our index here)–the 2020 one-year Royal Berkshire NHS Foundation Trust with an accident and emergency triage app that was discontinued by Babylon, and with University Hospitals Birmingham NHS Foundation Trust (UHB) for a virtual A&E app that was ended in July.

In the UK, Babylon will continue its GP At Hand service that took over a GP office in Fulham, London in 2016. It now currently covers about 155,000 patients. It will also maintain the AI-based chatbot used for triaging patients. GP At Hand is not profitable. GP practices work on a flat fee per patient that averages £155 ($183) per patient per year.

Babylon and RWT contracted in 2021 for a digital-first primary care service that would cover 55,000 patients, with a patient portal that would enable them to view their health records and view appointments. The app would also monitor conditions and like the AI chatbot, help to diagnose illness and actions. Babylon is ending the ten-year contract after two, which would make it 2023.

From the bubbly Digital Enthusiasm of former Health Minister Matt Hancock (left) in 2018 to the storm around @DrMurphy11, a GP who raised performance issues with the Babylon chatbot that escalated to BBC Two’s Newsnight in February 2020, founder and CEO Ali Parsa is now in an unenviable position in two countries. He 1) has semi-exited the UK market, 2) ruthlessly cut costs to the bone because the stock is down 90%, and 3) shifted to the far larger but unforgiving market of the US. The bright spot here is that US patients covered have already topped 6 years of effort in the UK. Parsa has now moved to the US.

Parsa noted in a recent results call [Seeking Alpha-Ed.] with analysts. “Those two or three small NHS contracts that you refer to—and those are not our significant primary-care contracts— those are marginal contracts for us, more in that category of contracts where we could not see a significant contribution to our profit margin,” he said. “And they also had a rather small contribution to our revenue. And therefore we saw them as a distraction and terminated those contracts.”

This Editor has previously noted Babylon’s layoffs/redundancies of at least 100 staff to save $100 million by Q3, which we are now in. Expansion in the US has to take place with static staff to make goal. And as to the US being unforgiving: VCs are snapping their capacious purses shut, Mr. Market’s gone into rehab, and inflation is shrinking healthcare budgets from providers to payers to self-insured companies. The Big Kahunas with Big Bucks–CVS Health, Allscripts, UnitedHealth Group, Amazon, Walgreens, Walmart–and out-of-left-field players like Option Care Health bidding on Signify Health, are snapping up, as we’ve earlier put it, “healthy health tech companies at the right (discounted) price that fill in their tech gaps”. And making life difficult for single players like Babylon Health. Wired. And a snappy hat tip to HISTalk.

Friday short takes: was there a bidding war for One Medical? A concussion risk wearable tested. Get Well’s monkeypox digital care plan

Amazon’s scoop-up of One Medical apparently was not all Skittles, Rainbows, and Unicorns. Large companies like Amazon, Walmart, Allscripts, and CVS are on the hunt to fill gaps in their portfolio and technologies, but only “healthy health tech companies at the right (discounted) price that fill in their tech gaps.” Of course, some of these companies have more chips on the table and in the safe than others.

We know from earlier reporting [TTA 7 July] that One Medical and CVS had some talks, but that One Medical spurned the offer. It did establish that One Medical was in play. Some digging by Heather Landi at FierceHealthcare, taking a walk through SEC documents according to a regulatory disclosure with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filed 10 August, found that CVS (identified as Party A) and 1Life Healthcare, the parent of One Medical, started their acquisition talks in October 2021. 1Life was short on cash, getting shorter, needing to expand, and was having trouble raising the $300 million they estimated they needed. Starting this past February, 1Life management started to negotiate with Amazon. On 1 June, CVS offered $17 per share, boosting it by $1 the following day, but were informed by 1Life that there was another suitor. By 2 July, Amazon put $18 in an all-cash deal on the table. When news leaked via Bloomberg on 5 July that CVS was in discussions, CVS bowed out. By the end of July, 1Life and Amazon closed on the deal [TTA 27 July].

It came down to this–Amazon needed One Medical more than CVS. Watch for CVS and Walmart to make more provider/primary care moves by the time the snow flies this year. We’ve already noted that CVS inked a deal with Amwell a few days ago as their provider for Virtual Primary Care and that Walmart outright owns a telehealth provider, MeMD, though their overall strategy remains a bit murky.. CVS also has resources through Aetna that are integratable, such as provider networks.

And speaking of Amazon, they just inked a deal with Ginger to add telemental health as an option for Amazon Care. Healthcare Dive

In the US, we are very close to football–and concussion–season. Multiple concussions lead to CTE, which took a long time to recognize as a cause of premature dementia. A mHealth wearable has been tested to measure head kinematics–head movement–and detect sudden neck strain, such as whiplash. Current systems are embedded in helmets or the X-Patch, which uses accelerometers.  According to the report in AAAS’ EurekAlert!, Nelson Sepúlveda of Michigan State University and colleagues developed a novel patch sensor using a film layer of thermoplastic material, a ferroelectret nanogenerator or FENG. “This produces electrical energy when physically touched or pressure is applied. The electrical signal produced is proportional to the physical strain on the neck and can be used to estimate the acceleration and velocity of sudden neck movement, two important markers for predicting concussion.” For this test, a dummy was used. Nature Scientific Reports, mHealth Intelligence

Monkeypox, its transmissibility, and treatment have also percolated this summer.  Get Well Network, which we noted last month in a JAMA study used its GetWellLoop RPM and monitoring in a Covid-19 home treatment study, released a new monkeypox digital care management plan. It will permit monitoring of symptoms from home using RPM, help direct patients to higher levels of care if and when needed, and aids hospitals in managing mandatory regulatory requirements for reporting and tracking infectious diseases. LifeBridge Health in the Baltimore area began offering Get Well’s monkeypox symptom monitoring tool last month. Release

Week-end wrapup: CVS plans to expand primary care, home health; Cera Care raises £264M; Linus Health’s AI enabled dementia screener, Cognito’s cognitive therapy slows brain atrophy

The sandal (it’s summer) drops at CVS Health in primary care–and maybe more. On their Q2 earnings call, CVS discussed that they are determined to enhance their services in three categories: primary care, provider enablement, and home health. The footwear that dropped was from CEO Karen Lynch: “We can’t be in the primary care without M&A” (sic). It was inevitable, given that rival Walgreens has a $5 billion deal with VillageMD for freestanding Village Medical clinics, Amazon with the pending One Medical buy–which it passed on only weeks prior [TTA 7 July], and Walmart picking along the edges with in-store clinics and telehealth. CVS’ criteria: strong management team, strong tech stack, strong scale, strong ability to build a pathway to profitability. (Certainly not an easy set of hurdles) CVS’ urgent care and in-store MinuteClinics have been doing well, with business up 12% to 2.8 million patient visits year to date. HISTalk, FierceHealthcare, Motley Fool transcript of earnings call

London-based Cera Care Ltd. raised £263.6 million ($320 million) in an equally split debt/equity round. Equity funding came from existing investor Kairos HQ, then the Vanderbilt University Endowment, Schroders Capital, Jane Street Capital, Yabeo Capital, Squarepoint Capital, Guinness Asset Management, Oltre Impact, 8090 Partners, and technology investor Robin Klein. Debt was not disclosed. The fresh financing will go towards expanding patient capacity in the UK plus Germany from the current 15,000 to 100,000.  Cera delivers in-home care, nursing, telehealth, and prescription delivery services using a digital platform and AI algorithms that use the data gathered to predict changes in patient status. TechCrunch, UKTechNews

Two developments from separate companies in the vital areas of improving dementia and Alzheimer’s diagnosis–and outcomes:

  • Linus Health has debuted its cognitive assessment and patient questionnaire platform for clinical use by primary care providers. The assessment tests for subtle changes in cognitive function, which in the preclinical phase will often go undetected. The concept is to push forward diagnosis and therapies to slow disease progression. It is based on an iPad and includes their DCTclock, an AI-enhanced version of the traditional paper-based Clock Drawing Test using a digital stylus or pen that can also spot symptoms of early-stage Parkinson’s. The evaluation including the DCTclock takes about 10 minutes. Release, FierceBiotech
  • Cognito Therapeutics is still in the investigational stage with its GammaSense headset which delivers sound and light therapy to cognitively impaired patients. The sensory stimulation evokes gamma oscillations in the brain that reduces neurodegeneration and brain atrophy. Their paper delivered last week at the Alzheimers Association conference tracked subjects who used the headset one hour per day for six months. The therapy reduced white matter shrinkage to about 0.4%, compared to a historical tracking of about 2%. An earlier study also showed slowdowns in the decline of memory and cognitive function. FierceBiotech

Thursday’s short takes: Walmart’s delivery drones expand, AWS lands Geisinger for AI and cloud, UHG-Kaia Health partner for virtual MSK therapy

Look, up in the sky! If you live in Arizona, Arkansas, Florida, Texas, Utah, and Virginia, you might be seeing a Walmart delivery drone sooner than you think. By end of 2022, the DroneUp delivery service will be expanding to 34 sites in six states, including Orlando and Tampa, covering 4 million households. What stores in those states will fill these orders between 8am and 8pm haven’t been disclosed, but Walmart estimates that delivery may reach 1 million packages. They will be limited in weight to 10 lbs, promise a 30-minute turnaround, and the delivery fee will be a modest $3.99. “Certified pilots” will be flying these drones. A side business for DroneUp is aerial photography for city and state governments’ construction projects. Color this Editor skeptical, as she wonders how many packages will be dropped and drones shot at. Also, they need to stay clear of restricted airspace. Walmart release, Epoch Times, The Verge

Amazon Web Services (AWS) continues its foray into healthcare with a prime partnership with Geisinger Health, a regional (PA) integrated health system.  They will be transitioning to AWS as their strategic cloud tech provider including their EHR, over 400 applications, plus workflows, after a multi-year review. Geisinger has estimated that post-implementation, they will save several million dollars. Their EHR migration will be one of the largest AWS migrations to date. AWS for Health is rivaled by Microsoft with Teams, Azure IoT, and chatbots for clients such as Humana, plus Google’s partnerships with healthcare giants such as Mayo. FierceHealthcare, Geisinger release

UnitedHealthcare and Kaia Health are partnering for a musculoskeletal (MSK) virtual therapy program. United Healthcare members recovering from surgery or injury will be assessed and referred to the Kaia program when appropriate. These members will then be able to download the Kaia app for physical therapy, tailored to them via “artificial intelligence”. Progress is monitored by that person’s smartphone camera to record motion in real-time and offer suggestions via coaches either 1 to 1 or through the app’s chat feature. At this point, UHG will offer it only to their self-funded employer clients. FierceHealthcare

Some thoughts on Teladoc and the Week That Was in telehealth

Yes, your Editor has, for the past few weeks, felt like Pepper the Robot, moving at two speeds–crazed and off. (‘Off ‘ to the left. Now cart me off.) Home renovations, with strangers tramping through your abode, noise, dust, and the corresponding moving of furniture, packing and unpacking, pre- and post-cleaning, then trying to put things right and get your life back will do that. Add to that an unexpected gushy kitchen sink that took three ‘fixes’ to get actually fixed. Then there were technical problems with our email sender that Editor and Administrator Emeritus Steve had to work through. One becomes more appreciative of order, routine, and Peace and Quiet.

Speaking of Peace and Quiet, there is little to be found in telehealth. Instead, there is a lot of Feeling Off. The Big News of late last week, of course, was Teladoc’s troubles. In the words of Seeking Alpha, they had one horrific quarter. The horror show started with writing off the Livongo acquisition– a noncash goodwill impairment charge of $6.6 billion, for a massive loss of $41.11 per share for a total of $41.58 per share. To compare, last year’s Q1 loss was $1.31 per share. While revenues were up almost to projection (25%), it was still a $3 million miss and in context, it was the cherry on a very nasty sundae. After rosy projections last year, Teladoc lowered their 2022 revenue guidance from $2.6 billion to $2.45 billion.  

Moving forward from the questionable Livongo acquisition at the absolute peak of the market, CEO Jason Gorevic admitted some hard truths to investors that deepened the hole: much more competition, particularly in telemental health; the rising cost of paid search advertising and the keywords driving towards direct-to-consumer telehealth driving up the cost of acquisition; and difficulty closing B2B deals. This creates, in the terms of analyst SVB Leerink’s Stephanie Davis quoted in FierceHealthIT, “a direct-to-consumer air pocket that business-to-business sales (and their inherently longer cycles) are too slow to fill” at least, in her view, until the end of the year.

Teladoc’s difficulties, as this Editor has noted, started after a peak in early 2021 as the pandemic started its protracted wind-down and telehealth volumes plunged to well below 5% of claims as practices reopened. The stock value is down over 90% from last February, not helped by a volatile market triggered by war and inflation. Similar difficulties are plaguing Amwell (down 92% since February 2021), Talkspace (down to a paltry 16 cents and in court for misleading investors), SOC Telemed (taken private at a 70% drop in value, TTA 8 Feb), and other health tech companies. For our Readers, this is no surprise: the telehealth bender is ovah.

One industry leader in a post-ATA conversation with this Editor cited a less obvious factor–that hospitals and other health providers are now putting together their own telehealth/triage packages tied into population health and case management software, with and without ‘white label’ providers such as Bluestream Health and Zipnosis (acquired by insurtech/payvider Bright Health a year ago). Teladoc is a late entry to this provider/payer market with Primary360, where they also compete with Babylon Health [TTA 7 Oct 22]. And health retailers have joined the primary care telehealth game. Walmart last week announced a virtual health diabetes care program for employers through their recently acquired MeMD.

Big Telehealth’s troubles may depress investment in related earlier stage companies–or help those in niches such as telemental and population health, or remote patient monitoring (RPM) systems that have telehealth features (e.g. TytoCare), as VC investment seeks a brighter home. Right now, this Editor’s Magic 8 Ball is saying ‘outlook, cloudy”. 

Friday short takes: ElliQ companion robot launches, Tunstall pilots chronic condition support in Ireland, Walmart Better(s)Up, TytoCare surveys virtual primary care, Microsoft closes $19B buy of Nuance

ElliQ, a small size companion robot, was officially launched this week by its developer, Intuition Robotics. From the release, it’s a national launch but concentrated in senior-rich south Florida. ElliQ responds and ‘learns’ by voice commands and through a connected tablet. It has gained some notice for its unusual shape (like a small lamp), animation in place, and initiating conversation that resembles chit-chat. Behind this is interactivity–the companion part–checking in to say “good morning,” pointing towards sleep, but also informing family or friends that you’re OK and helping track appointments and medications. We noted at the end of January that Michael Cantor, MD, JD is their chief medical officer, as well as CMO of Uber Health. Intuition release, Fast Company profile of an ElliQ beta tester, aged 81.

It’s a day late for St. Patrick’s Day, but Tunstall Healthcare piloted with several agencies in County Wexford, Ireland, in a 12-week proof of concept test of remote monitoring support of 50 patients with three chronic conditions: heart failure, diabetes, and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). The 2021 telehealth intervention measured the impact on the patient’s clinical condition and wellbeing; in-person use of health services; ascertaining patient and clinician perceptions of the intervention and technology; and an analysis of the cost-effectiveness of the intervention. The trial used the myMobile patient app and the triageManager clinical management software platform. Participating in the pilot: Age Friendly Ireland, Integrated Care Programme in the HSE, Wexford General Hospital, Tunstall Emergency Response and Wexford County Council-Age Friendly Programme. THIIS. Also in the same publication is a Tunstall take by Gavin Bashar, Tunstall UK & Ireland managing director, on aging in place with technology support.

In another expansion of Walmart into healthcare, they’re partnering with behavioral health-coaching platform BetterUp in a program dubbed ‘BetterUp for Caregivers’. The app will be offered exclusively through Walmart’s Wellness Hub. Caregivers can access support via BetterUp’s live group coaching circles hosted by a BetterUp coach. Release, Mobihealthnews

TytoCare’s quick survey found that their 300 users via a major insurer preferred more access to virtual primary care, which isn’t much of a surprise. Going through the numbers:

  • 67% felt they would be more likely to stay with their health insurer long-term as a result of being offered remote physical examinations (always catnip to insurers!)
  • 66% of users would consider a digital-first plan
  • 87% of respondents indicated they are pleased by health insurers who offer technology for remote visits
  • Much of this is a reaction to delayed in-person primary care: 90% of members wait an average of six days to see their primary care physician. Over 45% wait between 1-2 hours or more. 

And in the It’s About Time Department, Microsoft’s $19 billion purchase of Nuance Communications closed after the UK cleared the acquisition. It was our Really Big Deal of 21 April 2021. Nuance is a cloud and AI-based speech recognition company with well-known brands Dragon and PowerScribe. Becker’s. 

Thursday news roundup: Walmart hiring 50K workers including health, Anthem name-changing, GE Healthcare-AliveCor partner, IPO for Komodo Health amid slowdown?

In the midst of war, inflation, and the contradiction of a tight labor market, it’s somehow reassuring that Walmart needs to hire 50,000 new workers–and fast, by end of April. According to reports, some of those new hires will be bolstering the health and wellness areas. In the past, Walmart has hired heavily in their in-store pharmacies. Many of these jobs are lower-end–delivery drivers for direct-to-fridge InHome groceries, in-store workers, and supply chain staff. One higher-level worker area that points to health is global tech, creating offices in Toronto and Atlanta, with Walmart planning jobs for 5,000 engineers, data scientists, analysts, and tech experts. Additional hires will go to increasing its advertising business which is based in the New York metro area. Especially for those high-skill positions, six weeks is not quite plausible in this market. But you have to admire them for trying. CNBC, Becker’s

Anthem changing its name–again. Health insurer giant Anthem, Inc. has announced a renaming to Elevance Health. According to the release, the name is a combination of elevate and advance, presumably for health but as they say in their release, vaulting beyond healthcare into the rarefied air of ‘whole health’. It also reflects vaulting beyond the health plan business, as they fully savor the rarified air of healthcare diversification like fellow giants UnitedHealth Group, Centene, and CVS Aetna.

The parent company of Anthem Blue Cross Blue Shield plans, Anthem owns non-Blues Amerigroup, Integra Managed Care in NY,  pharmacy benefits manager IngenioRx, plus a $25 million investment in digital health hub Sharecare. Plan and product names, along with organizations will not change at this time–these are major changes that usually require state department of insurance approvals.

To this Editor’s Gimlet Eye, the coined name Elevance feels pharmaceutical and not in a good way–it’s very close to an old anti-depressant, Elavil. A return to WellPoint, a name the company had up to 2014, would have accomplished the same ends. But there’s always the shock of the new, the opportunity to change the tired signage, and behind this, someone making a point for themselves. Undoubtedly the shareholders will agree at the 18 May annual meeting, since they always do, and it will start to be used–presumably with a logo and new graphics they don’t have now–at end of Q2. Another gimlety view–it takes a certain myopia to announce a name change given what’s happening in the world. Healthcare Dive

In time for HIMSS, GE Healthcare and AliveCor, developer of the KardiaMobile ECG, announced their partnership to transmit KardiaMobile 6L data directly into GE Healthcare’s MUSE Cardiac Management System for clinical evaluation. MUSE is used by 87 percent of the top cardiac hospitals in the US. The direct integration of KardiaMobile 6L data that is taken anywhere into the MUSE workflow and then into an EMR, targeting atrial fibrillation but also other cardiac monitoring, is a big validation and win for AliveCor. Release

Analytics software company Komodo Health is preparing an IPO as early as this summer. Goldman Sachs and SVB Securities are rumored to be the lead bookrunners. Timing will depend on markets and financing. Komodo completed last March a $220 million Series E for funding to date of $314 million [TTA 25 Mar 2021]. With a valuation now topping $3 billion, Komodo may be the ‘IT’ company of healthcare IPOs in a market much tamer than last year’s Wild West Rodeo. What they do isn’t easy to explain, but they feed their 325 million patient encounter database drawn from EHR, pharma, lab, and government data into proprietary software to map patient journeys, providing analytics on more than 325 de-identified, real-world patient insights. These are used to drive better health outcomes across therapeutic areas. The primary markets for their data are life sciences and pharma for R&D, clinical trials, and medical affairs, but are seeking to expand to providers and payers.

Other IPOs rumored to be on tap are Included Health (the former Grand Rounds/Doctor on Demand) [TTA 20 Oct 2021] and Tempus Labs in precision medicine.

Connecting JPM and CES dots: Babylon Health tripling revenue in ’22 to $1 billion–how? And Bosch tiptoes back into healthcare.

Dig for dots with your Editor….Babylon Health used their JPM forum last week to announce that with some US agreements signed, they expect by the end of this month to top $80 million per month, closing in on $1 billion this year, based on signing US value-based care agreements. The US agreements add an estimated 88,000 organic new members, bringing global managed lives to over 440,000. The $1 billion in revenue is nearly triple their 2021 preliminary closing revenue of $321 million. Interestingly, the US agreements were not specified in the release.

Does this tie in with the Higi acquisition [TTA 7 Jan], or are there others? Looking back on the Higi buy, we see one of the investors coming over from Higi is Glen Tullman, CEO of Transcarent and Managing Partner of VC 7wireVentures. His comments about Babylon in that release glow:

“Babylon’s innovative value and risk sharing models fit well with market leaders and innovators, including Transcarent, because they believe that, with the appropriate use of technology, data science, and good old-fashioned clinical care, you can impact the member satisfaction and quality of care, while, at the same time, reducing costs. This is the formula everyone has been searching for and the combination of Higi and Babylon bring us all one step closer.”

Higi is not large enough (though they claim ‘millions’) to boost Babylon’s revenues into the stratosphere, but some of Transcarent’s business very well might.

  • Transcarent earlier acquired BridgeHealth, a surgical and value-based benefits provider claiming 1 million members.
  • In October, Transcarent inked an agreement with Walmart to provide services for self-insured employers linking them to Walmart’s, including drug prescriptions.
  • Transcarent is on a funding roll of its own, with its own announcement at JPM in landing a $200 million Series C.

We’ll see if this Editor’s dots connect correctly….

Remember Bosch and health tech? Bosch was one of the ur-companies in remote patient monitoring with Health Hero/Health Buddy plus other telehealth/telecare businesses. Once upon an early 2010s time, they were a major supplier to VA Home Telehealth along with Viterion, Cardiocom, and Medtronic. After multiple setbacks, rounded up by TTA here, they exited European telehealth/telecare in January 2015 and shuttered Health Buddy six months later. So it’s déjà vu all over again to see Bosch technology used in a three-way project with Highmark Health in Pennsylvania and their Pediatric Institute of Allegheny Health Network (AHN) in Pittsburgh. AHN will be using Bosch’s SoundSee sensor-based tech to capture patient breathing audio that is then analyzed via Bosch’s proprietary AI and machine learning to detect pediatric pulmonary conditions. Clinical studies at AHN will be starting this quarter. Bosch’s Intelligent IoT group responsible for SoundSee is located at Bosch Research in Pittsburgh. Bosch has patented SoundSee for multiple applications in industrial and healthcare monitoring. Release, FierceHealthcare

Buried in the release is Bosch’s other step back into health tech. Vivatmo me, a breath-gas analyzer device that allows patients to accurately determine levels of inflammation, documenting them via an app–a very interesting concept–has been commercially available from March 2020 in Germany and Austria. It may be introduced in the US.

Telehealth usage going flat, off by 1/3 and declining: Trilliant Health study

Trilliant Health, a healthcare data analytics and advisory shop based in Tennessee, has run some projections on the US healthcare market and telehealth, and they’re not as bright as many of us–and a lot of investors plus Mr. Market–have believed. It opens up on page 4 of the electronic document (also available in PDF) with this ‘downer’–that the largest sector of the largest global economy is overbuilt and unsustainable. Hospitals and health systems have operated for decades that basic economic factors–demand, supply, and yield–don’t apply, and there are more companies competing with them for the consumer healthcare dollar than they realize–with more proliferating every day. 

Sledding through their 160-page report, we turn to our sweet spot, telehealth, and Trilliant is not delivering cheerful news (pages 32-43). 

  • Unsurprisingly, demand for telehealth is tapering off. Based on claims data for face-to-face video visits, excluding Medicare fee-for-service (Original Medicare) and self-pay visits, they peaked above 12 million in April 2020 and, save for a bump up in December 2020-January 2021, steadily declined to about 9 million by March 2021.
  • Teladoc, the leading provider, is projecting that 2021 volume will only represent 4 percent of the US population–a lot more than before, but not growing as it did in 2020.
  • Telehealth’s growth was astronomical on both coasts–California, Massachusetts, Vermont, Oregon–and Hawaii–but relatively lower in middle and Southern America in places like Wyoming, North Dakota, Mississippi, and Iowa. Telehealth usage is declining sharply in that region as well but across the board in all states including California. In fact, Phoenix and Dallas had higher telehealth utilization pre-pandemic than during it.
  • Mental health drove telehealth growth during the pandemic, representing 35 percent of claims, almost four times the next group of categories at 8 percent. The largest group of diagnoses were for anxiety and depression among women 20-49. With the reopening of the US economy and children heading back to school, will this sustain or decline?
  • Women 30-39 are the largest users of telehealth–pre, during, and post-pandemic

Telehealth is not only proliferating, it is going up against now-open urgent care, retail clinics from Walgreens, Walmart, and CVS, plus tech-enabled providers that blend virtual care with home care, such as Amazon with a full rollout of Amazon Care and other employers. The cost of care is also a negative driver. FierceHealthcare analyzes other parts of the report impacting practices, health systems, and hospitals.

 

Disruption or giveaway: Amazon Care signs on employers, but who? Amazon Pharmacy’s 6 months of meds for $6. (updated)

Is this disruption, a giveaway, or blue smoke requiring IFR? An Amazon Care VP, Babak Parviz, said at the Wall Street Journal’s Tech Health virtual event that all is well with their rollout of virtual primary care (VPC). Washington state is first, with VPC now available nationally to all Amazon employees as well as companies. However, Mr. Parviz did not disclose the signed-up companies, nor a timetable for when in-person Amazon Care practices will be expanding to Washington, DC, Baltimore, and other cities in the coming months.

Mr. Parviz also provided some details of what Amazon Care would ultimately look like:

  • Clinician chat/video connected within 60 seconds
  • If an in-person visit is required, a mobile clinician arrives within 60 minutes, who can perform some diagnostic tests, such as for strep throat, provide vaccinations and draw blood for lab work. For other diagnoses, that clinician is equipped with a kit with devices to monitor vital signs which are live-streamed to remote clinicians.
  • Medication delivery within 120 minutes

FierceHealthcare

The timing of the Amazon Care rollout has not changed since our coverage of their announcement in March. This Editor noted in that article that Credit Suisse in their overview was underwhelmed by Amazon Care as well as other efforts in the complex and crowded healthcare space. Amazon Care also doesn’t integrate with payers. It’s payment upfront, then the patient files a claim with their insurer.

Existing players are already established in large chunks of what Amazon wants to own.

  • Both Amwell’s Ido Schoenberg [TTA 2 April] and Teladoc’s Jason Gorevic (FierceHealthcare 12 May) have opined that they are way ahead of Amazon both in corporate affiliations and comprehensive solutions. Examples: Amwell’s recently announced upgrade of their clinician platform and adding platforms for in-home hospital-grade care [TTA 29 Apr], Teladoc’s moves into mental health with myStrength [TTA 14 May].
  • Even Walmart is getting into telehealth with their purchase of a small player, MeMD [TTA 8 May].
  • CVS has their MinuteClinics affiliated with leading local health systems, and Walgreens is building out 500 free-standing VillageMD locations [TTA 4 Dec 20]. CVS and Walgreens are also fully integrated with payers and pharmacy benefit management plans (PBM).

Another loss leader is pharmacy. Amazon is also offering to Prime members a pharmacy prescription savings benefit: six-month supplies of select medications for $6. The conditions are that members must pay out-of-pocket (no insurance), they must have the six-month prescription from their provider, and the medication must be both available and eligible on Amazon Pharmacy. Medications included are for high blood pressure, diabetes, and more. The timing is interesting as Walmart also announced a few days earlier a similar program for Walmart+ members. Mobihealthnews.

crystal-ballThis Editor’s opinion is that Amazon’s business plans for both entities and in healthcare are really about accumulating data, not user revenue, and are certainly not altruistic no matter what they say. Amazon will accumulate and own national healthcare data on Amazon Care and Pharmacy users far more valuable than whatever is spent on providing care and services. Amazon will not only use it internally for cross-selling, but can monetize the data to pharmaceutical companies, payers, developers, and other commercial third parties in and ex-US. Shouldn’t privacy advocates be concerned, as this isn’t being disclosed?