Figuring out the future for health tech after 2022’s realignments: new SVB study

November 10, 2022 | by

As Readers who subscribe to our Saturday Alerts (repeated on Wednesday) have seen, this Editor has dubbed this season Realignment Autumn. From the fever pitch of funding, hiring, inflated valuations, SPAC funny money, and unrealistic expectations that started in 2020 and peaked in 2021, we in the industry are now fretting that we can’t get back to 2019 or 2020. Part of the new reality is that telehealth and health tech are far beyond that point in tech integration, ease of use, and takeup by enterprises, but has entered an uncertain business period more than a bit overextended and overexpecting. Unprofitable lines and side businesses, however promising, are being dropped or sold. Talented people who helped to start them are gone. The trend toward consolidation, which started last year, is accelerating.

For a more financial and data-oriented view, Silicon Valley Bank’s latest, “The Future of Healthtech 2022”, does not disappoint. This is a far deeper dive than served up by Rock Health, StartUp Health, and (unless you are a subscriber) CB Insights. This is a US and EU (including UK) view of how investment patterns have shifted, and a look at where investment may be going next year.

So far in 2022 they have seen:

  • Lower valuations and plummeting share value of public companies
  • A shift from ‘growth at all costs’ to a clear value proposition and creation: improving health outcomes, access or affordability.
  • Investments are more modest and at earlier stages–no more blockbuster Series Ds and Es (40% decline in mega-rounds of $100 million+)
  • No IPOs so far
  • Only 18 unicorns formed this year
  • M&A still rising at the right price
  • Companies have to deliver measurable value to continue driving innovation

Through 30 September, SVB tracked investment at $23 billion. Where it’s going:

  1. Provider operations: $7.0 billion–defined as technology that improves efficiency and accuracy of provider-provider, provider-patient interactions
  2. Clinical trial enablement: $6.8 billion
  3. Alternative Care (includes telehealth and mental health): $5.6 billion
  4. Wellness and education: $1.3 billion
  5. Healthcare navigation: $1.3 billion
  6. Medication management: $833 million
  7. Insurance: $117 million

Sections drill down on these sectors and subsectors such as mental health and women’s health, including an analysis of female-founded health tech companies, investors by sector, and a historical view of unicorns. Grab a cuppa and take your time with this one!

Digital health funding’s Q1 hangover from 2021’s bender–and Q2 is a question mark, even for Rock Health

April 6, 2022 | by

Chug the Pedialyte and pickle juice, down those milk thistle caps for the liver. It’s a morning after quarter that we knew was coming. After 2021’s mighty year for health tech investment, doubling 2020’s, capped by a $29.1 billion total across 729 deals [TTA 29 Jan], the slump we knew would arrive, did. Rock Health’s tracking of 2022’s Q1 proved to be a less than stellar $6.0 billion across 183 deals. It mildly lagged 2021’s Q1 but was still 75% more than 2020’s depressed Q1 at the start of the pandemic.

Even in January, the 2022 projections were iffy. Silicon Valley Bank projected, based on anemic post-IPO performance, that there would be ‘massive consolidation’ and even acquiring companies to hire talent [TTA 14 Jan]. Rock Health and Silicon Valley Bank noted the waning of SPACs as an easy way to IPO for a variety of reasons, including SEC scrutiny. A combination of both was SOC Telemed. which IPO’d via a SPAC at $10, and was taken private seven months later at $3 per share–after trading at $0.64. SOC was not an outlier–larger telehealth brothers Amwell and Teladoc had taken major share price kicks in the head at 50% and more by February [TTA 8 Feb].

The rest of the story is mixed as the economy continues to open up with the pandemic over, but the stock market is wobbly, inflation soars as does a Russia-Ukraine war. 

  • Average deal size was $32.8 million, again below 2021
  • January was a cheerier month than the following two, with companies raising $3.0 billion. Some of this was carryover from 2021 deals that didn’t quite make it past the post. February slumped to $1.4 billion while March ticked up to $1.6 billion, not a good trend going into Q2.
  • Rock Health’s Digital Health Index (RHDHI), a composite of publicly traded digital health securities, fell 38%, far below the S&P 500’s 5% dip over that same time period.
  • SPACs tumbled along with the market, continuing their fall since 2021. Deals were canceled, taken private (SOC Telemed), and companies sued for misleading investors (Talkspace).
  • Late stage deals continued to roll: mega Series D+ deals in Q1 2022 included TigerConnect ($300M), Lyra ($235M), Alto Pharmacy ($200M), Omada Health ($192M), and Ro ($150M). D and above deal size fell by $16 million. But average deal size fell off at every Series, less so for B and C.
  • Lead clinical investment areas were mental health continuing far in the lead, followed by oncology, cardiovascular, and diabetes. Oncology rose from the fifth spot in 2021 to #2 in Q1, displacing cardio. In value proposition, the top three were on-demand healthcare, R&D, and clinical workflow–this up from the 11th spot.

A weak start for 2022, but only compared to 2021. Q2 and maybe even Q3 will be the test in this mid-term election year. Rock Health Q1 report

US/EU 2021 healthcare VC funding soared 65%, but health tech performance slumped 28%–and 2022 surprises

January 14, 2022 | by

This isn’t the usual Rock Health report of puppies and unicorns. Silicon Valley Bank is a source new to this Editor, but even in topline, the report is pretty bracing. Their coverage is broad and detailed–biopharma, health tech, dx (diagnostic)/tools, and device–on US and European venture capital (VC) funding from 2019 to 2021. There are some warning flags for the health tech sector through their report (summary page; report available for free download here).

What you’d expect: total health care soared in 2021 to over $86 billion–a 65% increase over 2020 (not 30%!). This was led by biopharma at $36.3 billion, then health tech at $28.2 billion. Dx/tools and devices had far more modest funding gains. 

For health tech: 

  • Funding was up 157% versus 2020–42 new ‘unicorns’, four times 2020
  • Provider operations companies comprised a record 35% of total seed/series A funding, up from 20% in 2020. The other hot areas were clinical trial enablement and alternative care. Surprisingly, healthcare navigation was next to last, perhaps indicating that these companies are further along in maturity.
  • Investors were numerous, but high frequency investors were Tiger Global, Andreesen Horowitz, General Catalyst, Casdin, and Gaingels.
  • SPACs slowed in 2021, trying to find the right match before their two-year window to complete a merger and reflecting greater SEC scrutiny of blank checks. Of those who ‘de-SPAC’ed in 2021, Talkspace and Owlet led in market losses, 80% and 73% respectively.
  • Post-IPO performance dropped 28%, led by insurtechs Oscar, Bright Health, and Alignment Health
  • There were 122 M&A deals. The $63 million median value was down 25% from 2020. marking a shift to vertical integrations in care continuums or horizontal to capture consumer bases.

2022 The Year of M&A and Acquire-to-Hire? The end of the report sounds a cautionary note to health tech ‘bulls’. Expect “massive” consolidation. Healthy investment will continue, but the opportunities will be for companies seeking expand product offerings, expand to other markets, or acquire to hire talent (!)–the latter something quite new.

Also FierceHealthcare