Is Oracle Health’s Big Vision smacking into the wall of Healthcare Reality? Their business says so.

May 15, 2024 | by

Once again, ‘healthcare transformation’ may be A Bridge Too Far but definitely a Long Slog for Oracle. A highly critical Bloomberg report details the flat and deteriorating business of Oracle Health, the division that includes the former Cerner. Since their much-touted acquisition of Cerner two years ago [TTA 14 June 2022], Oracle has not righted the basic health system EHR business. Revenue and clients have stagnated with high-profile losses, versus the massive gains predicted only two years ago, and Cerner falling further behind the hospital/practice EHR leader, Epic, with a 26% hospital bed share compared to Epic’s 48%. 

  • Bloomberg’s internal sources indicated that sales reached $5.9 billion in 2023, but are projected to slip to $5.6 billion both in 2024 and 2025.
  • In 2023, 12 accounts did not renew and announced they would replace Cerner with Epic. These are major names such as Northwell Health and Boston Children’s Hospital. In 2022, clients with a combined capacity of 4,658 patients were lost, according to KLAS Research. This is despite the fact that EHRs are not moved lightly. The average commitment is 15 years or more since the ramp-up is taxing and costs are astronomical.
  • Common complaints cited by KLAS center around Cerner’s legacy software and the Cerner transition: tracking clinical revenue, tool integration, technical glitches, and uncertainty or worsened service associated with the Oracle takeover.Boston moved to improve data exchange with surrounding hospitals and Northwell for Epic’s set of better integrated tools.

Oracle laid off many involved with customer accounts. The consulting and sales area laid off 3,000 in one year from March 2023 to February 2024, according to Bloomberg. These may have been as early as May 2023. In June 2023, there were reports that the VA’s pause of Cerner Millenium for at least a year coupled with the completion of MHS Genesis triggered 500 to 1,200 additional Federal service area layoffs plus rescinded job offers. The layoff total may be as high as 4,200 on a pre-acquisition employee base of 28,000, with salaries and promotions frozen. On the executive level, Don Johnson, who once was a successor to CEO Larry Ellison, departed from leading Oracle Health and AI. Reportedly, Dr. David Feinberg, who briefly headed Cerner prior to the sale, is now a ‘ceremonial’ chairman of Oracle Health. [TTA 18 May 2023] Dr. Feinberg also joined Aegis Ventures as a senior advisor and is on Humana’s board, which sounds like a winddown of Oracle responsibilities [TTA 11 Jan]. The layoffs and freezes have improved the former Cerner’s operating margin from 22% to 33%, but not as high as Oracle’s 46% margin.

Since the acquisition and chairman Larry Ellison’s Big Vision promises of creating ‘healthcare transformation’ and ‘better information’, Oracle’s challenge with Cerner has been not only to move their legacy systems onto the cloud but also to integrate Cerner systems with Oracle–and Oracle may have underestimated that complexity as well.

  • Oracle has stated that most customers have been moved to Oracle’s cloud, but inside sources have qualified them as Oracle Health’s smallest and least technically complicated. The big systems with their own domains have yet to be touched.
  • Cerner applications had about 8,000 bugs to be fixed.
  • On the people management/integration side, there are substantial differences between ‘legacy’ Cerner and Oracle people, often centering around not understanding the nuances and complexities inherent in healthcare–as well as compensation and working conditions. This Editor, who as a marketer has had to deal peripherally with ‘legacy systems’ (to the point of tears) through acquisitions on the payer side, knows this is common.

Where Oracle has had success with Cerner’s EHR is in international markets less saturated with EHRs or with home-grown systems, winning contracts in Sweden, the UK and Saudi Arabia. As previously noted, they are a supplier for the NHS. Oracle has moved forward on population health software,  modernizing Cerner’s revenue-tracking tool, and planning for an AI-assisted ambient listening voice note system. 

What remains up in the air is if the VA will restart Millenium transitioning from VistA this year. Oracle is pushing to restart it and its revenue stream this summer as projected last year [TTA 18 May 2023]. This counters VA Secretary Denis McDonough’s testimony last month to the House Veterans Affairs Committee that the VA does not intend to resume deploying it until FY 2025, which does not start until October 2024, and use carryover funding. This FY, there are no funds or plans allocated except for Lovell FHCC, which seems to be going well. The contract, already tightened last April with multiple metrics, demanded improvements, oversight, and annual renewals, is running into more Congressional headwinds this year. Three senators on the Senate Veterans’ Affairs Committee called for the VA “to use the opportunity the new contract structure provides to re-review terms and add additional accountability and oversight provisions to protect veterans and taxpayers.” pointing to the OIG report issued in March. The contract is up for renewal this coming Thursday 16 May. NextGov, Becker’s

The final burden on Oracle–only alluded to in the article–is the debt load undertaken to finance the $28 billion Cerner acquisition. A complex set of bridge and term loans were used to finance the buy [TTA 27 Oct 2022]. At the time, Oracle’s $90 billion debt load was one of the largest in tech. While Oracle’s stock value has been buoyed by its investments in AI, in the current environment, this debt load becomes suspect. Yahoo Finance, Quartz

Is Oracle Cerner’s VA EHRM implementation going to be tied up? Senate Veterans Affairs Committee says yes–with two oncoming trains (bills).

March 31, 2023 | by

Both Republican and Democrat Senators proposed separate bills on Wednesday with the same purpose–fix the implementation of Oracle Cerner’s EHR in the VA and increase oversight. Members of the Senate Committee on Veterans’ Affairs want to put the brakes on the entire implementation process until at minimum certain requirements have been met and the EHR modernization (EHRM) works at a level surpassing the existing VistA system.

The Republican bill drafted (without number yet) is being introduced by Bill Cassidy, MD (R-LA) and Jerry Moran (R-KS), joined by John Boozman (R-AR), Mike Rounds (R-SD), Thom Tillis (R-NC), Marsha Blackburn (R-TN), Kevin Cramer (R-ND), Tommy Tuberville (R-AL), Jim Risch (R-ID), Mike Crapo (R-ID), Mike Braun (R-IN) and Steve Daines (R-MT). In its present form, the six-page bill calls for a complete halt to implementation until the following is achieved:

  • Meeting improvement objectives in uptime and system-wide stability as defined by the VA Secretary and staff
  • Submission of a 30-day report to the Senate VA Committee systems that includes reporting on Department of Defense networks within the Federal electronic health record environment, training, and workflows for facilities of differing complexity
  • Quarterly reports on readiness and deviations
  • Individual readiness certifications for each facility receiving the Oracle Cerner EHR

Overall, the draft reads like an interim reform measure that is at the opposite pole from their colleagues in the House, who’d like to call the whole thing off and terminate the EHRM in H.R. 608 [TTA 1 Feb].  Bill Cassidy’s office release is short and to the point

The Democrat bill, not yet drafted but promised in a release from Patty Murray’s (D-WA) office really brings out the pitchforks and pitch. At length. With lots of quotes from Senators Murray, Chairman Jon Tester (D-MT), and Sherrod Brown (D-OH) designed to make hay with their states. (But will they put the needed fear in Oracle’s Mike Sicilia and Larry Ellison, two men who could buy and sell these senators?) Here’s a sample of the fire: 

  • Develop clear metrics to guide whether and how VA should go forward with the new EHR at additional VA facilities and require additional resources to support those facilities;
  • Require VA and Oracle Cerner to fix the technology features connected to the health safety and delivery issues found in VA’s March 2023 Sprint Report;
  • Not move forward with the new EHR at other VA health facilities until the data at the existing five facilities demonstrates an ability to deliver health care to veterans at standards that surpass metrics using VA’s VistA system or that meet national health operations standards as determined by the Under Secretary for Health;
  • Appoint a lead senior negotiator and leverage other federal agencies and independent outside experts to offer advice and strategies for managing aggressive EHR contract negotiations with Oracle Cerner to protect taxpayers and veterans;
  • Develop an alternative “Plan B” strategy for a new EHR in the event Oracle Cerner will not agree to new contract terms that protect taxpayers and increase accountability and penalties for poor performance or when VA data shows it cannot get the technology to work to serve veterans efficiently and safely

The normal Senate processes may unify these bills and make them bipartisan–a good start. But this ‘great deliberative body’ needs to move quickly as the entire VA health system is at stake. (This Editor notes that the Ellisonesque crowing about the transformation of healthcare has been notably absent these past few months, perhaps absorbed by the troubles, the Cerner layoffs, and reputed difficulties with Cerner health system clients.) Hat tip to HISTalk today.

Also on Wednesday, the House, which holds fiscal purse strings, is considering capping the VA’s budget at fiscal 2022 levels. Secretary Denis McDonough at a House Appropriations Committee meeting stated that there would be a $345 million shortfall within the VA Office of Information Technology (OIT) affecting the EHRM, as well as a $465 million shortfall in infrastructure and technology funding regarding major construction elements. In OIT, the EHRM is the third largest outlay with cybersecurity the largest. The FY2024 proposed budget has $6.4 billion for the OIT’s ongoing modernization and veteran IT services, with $1.9 billion for the EHRM alone. FedScoop

VA EHR update: four deaths traced to Oracle Cerner EHR; four safety issues identified by VA EHRM Sprint Team

March 18, 2023 | by

The Senate Veterans Affairs Committee is unhappy. Very unhappy. With good reason. The ongoing problems with the Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) rollout of the Oracle Cerner EHR multiply. There were six instances of ‘catastrophic harm’ attributed to a feature of the EHR modernization program since the rollout, four of which resulted in the death of a veteran patient. According to information given to the staff of Senator Richard Blumenthal (D-CT), one fatality was at Spokane’s Mann-Grandstaff VA Medical Center and the other three died as patients in the VA Central Ohio Healthcare System, launched in April 2022. The nonfatal cases happened to veteran patients in the Inland Northwest (also Spokane).

While Senator Patty Murray (D-WA), the chair of the powerful Appropriations Committee, threatened to withhold further funding for the EHR migration, Senator Jon Tester (D-MT) is not fed up enough to be in favor of terminating the contract, as the House Veterans Affairs technology subcommittee head, Rep. Matt Rosendale (R-also MT), proposed in January in H.R. 608, [TTA 1 Feb] now in the House Subcommittee on Oversight and Investigations. The VA has paid Oracle Cerner $4.4 billion on the contract so far, with a refund of $325,000 paid as compensation for ‘incomplete technology and poor training’. Obligations through the contract are at least $9.4 billion. It comes up for renegotiation on 17 May and VA’s contracting officer, Michael Parrish, has testified he will push for a more favorable contract

The Government Accountability Office is also unhappy. The GAO, which calculated the above obligations, told the committee that the EHR contract “as currently written, has not sufficiently motivated Oracle-Cerner to perform better,” and that the current terms of the contract are “not necessarily in the best favor of the government in this particular case.” The GAO surveyed VA users of the Oracle Cerner EHR and found that only 6% agreed the system enabled quality care. Some of this may be reluctance to change technologies after 40 years of VistA, as Senator Marsha Blackburn (R-TN) pointed out in what this Editor expects is a ‘devil’s advocate’ statement, but there is also a fatigue factor–it’s the fourth attempt at replacing VistA.  Federal News Network 16 March, Spokane Spokesman-Review, Becker’s HealthIT

The VA’s EHRM Sprint Team identified four main issues in the EHR Modernization Sprint Report (PDF) released on 10 March.

1) Unknown queue and related issues (including medications)
2) No show and cancelled appointment orders failed to route to scheduling queues
3) Add Referral button not creating visible external site referral for worklist action
4) Usability issues with the EHR application, allowing providers to order procedure charge codes for imaging without ordering the actual clinical imaging

There were 30 safety issues examined by the team (pages 6-7) of 450 submitted. The report also identified EHR workarounds for VA medical centers that conduct medical research, an issue that surfaced publicly with Ann Arbor Healthcare System in delaying their go-live until 2024 [TTA 1 Mar]. They also examined the Data Collection Workbooks (DCW) process to better ensure consistency with VA standards through moving to a standardized approach. The VA is developing an Enterprise Site Readiness Dashboard for determining if a site is ready to migrate their EHR. Federal News Network 13 March