Rock Health’s sunnier 2025: up 35% due to AI, but a tale of ‘have and have nots’

February 19, 2026 | by

Rock Health’s 2025 digital health roundup, published in January, was upbeat–as usual, and in no way Hemingwayan. Their calculation of US digital health fundings was up 35% versus 2024, rising to $14.2 billion from 2024’s $10.5 billion. This was a higher number and a stark contrast to Silicon Valley Bank’s (SVB) tracking of US and EU healthtech investments as a 1) lower number and 2) flat 5%, growing from 2024’s $13.2 billion to $13.9 billion [TTA 14 Jan].

Let’s do some unpacking:

  • The number of digital health deals went down from 509 to 482, a decline of 5.3%.
  • In terms of current dollars, 2025’s funding of $14.2 billion was, as projected, a snap back to 2020’s $14.4 billion, as 2024 was to 2019. In constant/inflation-adjusted dollars, applying a cumulative inflation of 25%, 2025 is well under 2020 but better than 2019; 2020’s $14.4 billion then is equivalent to $18.3 billion today.
  • Where Rock Health and SVB agree is the ‘barbell’ profile of what gets funded.  
    • Mega funds like General Catalyst and Andreessen Horowitz (a16z) do mega deals: 26 mega deals and 15 newly-minted unicorns (up from six last year), for a funding average by these two in D+ of $266 million, versus Series A of $24.1 million. 
    • The funding also skews towards “AI-enabled” companies and secondarily, wellness
    • Something that made this Editor go ‘hmmm…’:Rock Health’s usual analysis of letter deals across all funders is, unusually, missing in their 2025 report. The only comparison made is from GC and a16z, two mega funders. Inadvertently, Rock Health has drawn a bright line on the contraction of venture and private equity funders not only in available funds, but in sheer numbers. Discussed here intermittently, especially in the context of SVB’s failure and rescue, but at more length here in this 2023 commentary.
  • What they have picked up that SVB didn’t was the continuing significant number of unlabeled, non-letter financings–35% of deals, but down from 44% in 2023. Before 2021, unlabeled financings were fairly rare and in single digits.
  • The other significant pickup was that over 600 companies they track have not raised anything since 2021-2022. That could be a sign of health–that they are profitable and operating successfully on their cash flow–or barely staggering through and cannot get financing. 
  • M&A revived in 2025 with 195 deals in 2025, up 61% from 2024’s crater. Digital health companies were the majority acquirers (66%) with private equity at 10%. Rock Health attributes this to ‘tapestry weaving’ (creating more continuous solutions to flesh out platforms), legacy acquisitions by AI companies (a/k/a smush togethers, something New Mountain Capital excels at), and ‘acqui-hires’ to get top talent and tech.
    • They note of NMC: “Now, they’re weaving the largest “M&A tapestry” in digital health thus far: Matt Holt, NMC’s former managing director and president of private equity, is reportedly leaving to combine five NMC portfolio companies into a $30B holding company called Thoreau.”, a $30 billion deal broken out in a graphic. The five companies are Datavant, Swoop, Machinify, Smarter Technologies (itself a combine of SmarterDx, Thoughtful.ai, and Access Healthcare in RCM), and OfficeAlly. Whether this pending move (December) will actually work or turn into a petite version of Change Healthcare, we can only surmise.
  • IPOs haven’t really revived in digital health. Rock Health counts five IPOs in 2025, but only two are really digital health, Hinge Health and Omada Health, same as 2024. Both were at relatively flat valuations. The other three are more legitimately classified as biotech–Heartflow, Carlsmed, and Profusa. IPOs may improve in 2026, with Doc.com’s filing for a Nasdaq listing earlier this month and Devoted Health now at a post-F financing.
  • There is zero here about bankruptcies and reorganizations. No reference to the utter implosion of 23andMe and its shocking sale back to founder/CEO Anne Wojcicki.

The impact of ACCESS and ELEVATE. There is also a good graphic analysis of two CMS models that may support digital health more comprehensively than previous value-based care models such as ACO shared savings. The first CMMI model, ACCESS, will be debuting in July and is a 10 year voluntary payment model for Original Medicare outcomes in chronic care management. It reduces barriers for digital health to profitably work with CMS because it offers direct patient enrollment and waiving copays. The other from CMS is ELEVATE, launching in September, which funds up to 30 proposals with $100 million over three years to raise health and prevention for Original Medicare beneficiaries.

Rock Health’s 2025 wrapup

2026 remains Anyone’s Guess. It feels better…but….

Editor’s Note: Our Readers know that this Editor considers Rock Health a bit of a cheerleader for Sand Road. They play both sides of the fence as a venture fund/accelerator. There’s nothing wrong in that. SVB, like other financial institutions, funds a broad swath of healthcare and makes no bones about it. That is why their analysis, which also included EU and a bit of Asia, made its broader and tarter take on 2025 even more interesting.

What’s missing is year-to-year consistency in Rock Health’s analyses, notably what digital health sectors were funded and the Series letter breakdown across all funders.

Rock Health Q3 funding roundup: shrinking to fit ‘the new normal’ = the doldrums

October 2, 2023 | by

Let’s discuss the bad news first. Rock Health‘s tracked funding for digital health startups and M&A this quarter was the second lowest quarter in funding since Q4 2019–an anemic $2.5 billion across 119 deals. (Q4 2019: $2.1 billion). Q3 2023 was almost identical to Q2’s $2.5 billion across 113 deals [TTA 11 July]. Year-to-date is now $8.6 billion raised across 365 deals. The past four of five quarters were all in the $2 billion funding range with deal numbers in the low hundreds.

If Q4 replicates Q3, 2023 in this Editor’s projection will wind up in the $11 billion range with under 500 deals. Year 2023 would find itself in a gulf between 2019’s total of $8.1 billion and 2020’s startling runup of $14.3 billion.  Interestingly, Rock Health doesn’t go there as they used to in palmier times.

Here’s another depressing fact. If adjusting for inflation about 20%, in 2019 dollars the funding for Q3 would be about $2 billion, less than Q4 2019. In other words, 2023 looks like it will be a rerun of 2019, flat as a pancake, without a swan event on the horizon to pull everything up.

Getting back to Rock Health’s report, the reasons for funding staying in the horse latitude doldrums are understandably circular. Forecasting a slower economy wet blanketed by high interest rates leads to less capital raises. Less capital, less funding for startups, less IPO activity, lower portfolio valuations. Doing deals in this constrained environment requires, in Rock Health’s terms, ‘a more conservative mindset’ which further depresses funding. Unappetizing circles feed on themselves until they work themselves out slowly, or a ‘swan’ event blows a hole in it.

IPOs remain on a starvation diet. This is reasonable based on the continued cracking of SPAC-funded companies, touted as the alternative to IPOs. Further depressing the market were total hull loss bankruptcies of Babylon Health, Pear Therapeutics, and Friday Health. This Editor will add to this the troubles of Cano Health, Bright Health, SimpleHealth, The Pill Club, Hurdle, and Quil Health, plus the dancing on the edge of Clover and Oscar Health. NextGen Healthcare decided that 41 years of being a public company were enough, and went private two weeks ago.

Overall, what there is of funding is shifting over to disease treatment, non-clinical workflow, and healthcare marketplace/value-based care as the top three value propositions so far this year. In 2022, these three categories were #5, 3, and 8 respectively. Examples of companies are Vivante Health and Synapse Health. Mental health, surprisingly with the recent implosions and a crowded field, remains far in front as the #1 clinical area though in funding only half of full year 2022. Nephrology (renal health) and neurology are the up and comers.

Rock Health’s writers try to put the most optimistic face on this continued slide with phraseology like “digital health’s new reality is “smaller but mighty” and even the well-worn ‘new normal.’ But right now, it’s hard to suss out the ‘mighty’ or normal part. Rock Health’s Q3 report

Unicorns to Series A–health tech funding gained in (perhaps) the nick of time

August 25, 2015 | by

[grow_thumb image=”https://telecareaware.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/08/1107_unicorn_head_mask_inuse.jpg” thumb_width=”150″ /]Money, money everywhere–unicorns get the headlines, but the companies are still (largely) small

Up until early August, this Editor would have assumed that our Readers would look at this funding roundup as a bracing windup to a largely positive eight months and a veritable Corvette Summer for healthcare technology funding. We may have to give back the keys a little sooner than we imagined. Will the dropping market affect digital health as 2008-9 did–‘out of gas’ for years? Or will it barely affect our motoring onward? Despite the Dow Jones average hitting an 18 month low today, we hope it’s closer to the latter than the former. though the new and big entrant to digital health investing is the country most affected, China.

Our roundup of the August Action includes ZocDoc, Fitbit, Alphabet, PillPack, Owlet and more, along with a few comments:

**ZocDoc, a NYC-based online medical care appointment service that matches patients with doctors by location and schedule, had the most sensational round with last week’s Series D funding of $130 million, giving it a valuation of $1.8 bn. It took over a year after the filing (June 2014) and was led by two foreign funds (London-based Atomico and Edinburgh-based Baillie Gifford) with additional funding from Founders Fund, which previously participated in raises of $95 million.

Though it claims 60 percent coverage in the US  and ‘millions of users’ (numbers which have been quoted for some years), ZocDoc won’t disclose profitability nor volume–metrics that would be part of any IPO.

Direction? Points given for deciphering this windy statement (quoted from Mobihealthnews): (more…)