Let us now hold the formal memorial service for the SPAC–the special purpose acquisition company, at least for digital health. Halle Tecco, whom many of us know as the founder and past CEO of Rock Health, plus angel investor, plus adjunct professor in digital health at Columbia, now has an opinion blog on Substack. As our Readers know, this Editor, who is none of the above, has been shoveling dirt on SPACs here on TTA since they became an Easy Way To Avoid the cumbersome, oh-so-tiresome preparation for a public IPO during the Digital Health Boom of 2020-22 (RIP). She has been covering their Trouble Every Day and demise ever since. Having not kept quantitative track of Cracked SPACs, only the news as they floated, declined, and failed, this Editor enjoyed Ms. Tecco’s quantitative analysis of the overall picture. She puts it into a readable business context.
Shockingly, SPACs across all IPOs are still going on. In 2023 and 2024, total SPACs as a percent of IPOs neared 40%. Their high was reached in 2022 at 73%. The attractiveness of SPACs was obvious: an investor sets up a publicly traded company and goes through the hassle of an IPO. It raises money on public markets and from investors to acquire another company. Then it hunts for a company to acquire. The target is landed, is acquired, symbols change, and the deal is done, all in three to six months. The acquired company doesn’t have to go through the investor pitches, the due diligence, the incessant filing…less fuss and muss, but missing the rigor of a traditional IPO. For the SPACs, especially those focusing on digital health, 2020-22 became FOMO Fever–the fear of missing out.
For digital health companies, the boom became a race to the bottom.
- 30.4% went bankrupt, some spectacularly, others with a whimper as they’ve failed, one after the other: 23andMe, Cano Health, Babylon Health, Nuvo, Pear, others
- 26.1% were acquired well below their SPAC entry price: Sharecare, SOC Telemed, Akili and others. The only exception: Augmedix, with a $40 million SPAC valuation, was bought for $139 million by Commure. (Commure is backed by General Catalyst and Andreessen Horowitz; Commure/Athelas itself is an interesting and complex story.)
- 39.1% are still in business but trading below their SPAC entry price. A number flirted with the Devil of Demise and are recovering: Clover Health, Owlet (baby monitors), Butterfly (ultrasound POC), Talkspace. DocGo became a Covid play and then got into political trouble and is nearing $2/share from their late 2022 high of just below $11. And others.
- There is exactly one success story: hims & hers (4.3%)
Enjoy this read on her blog. If you prefer a podcast, here’s Ms. Tecco on her ‘Heart of Healthcare’ with Mohamad Makhzoumi (link is to Spotify), co-CEO of New Enterprise Associates (NEA), a VC in healthcare and technology (33 minutes), discussing healthcare’s evolution, so to speak, from “the trailer park of venture investing” and the hilarious ‘healthcare hokey-pokey’. And here’s a Gimlety View of SPACs from 26 June 2024.
Another Big and Disastrous Fail in the making may be OpenAI, the creator of ChatGPT. It is converting from a non-profit to a for-profit company, losing its founder group, fundraising like crazy, and generally has ditched its Mission. “OpenAI is an AI research and deployment company. Our mission is to ensure that artificial general intelligence benefits all of humanity.” OpenAI has raised the largest venture-backed fundraise of all time, $6.6 billion, and is now valued at $157 billion. Why overvalued? A tell is that SoftBank has invested $500 million into this megillah–this Editor recalls that SoftBank invested in Theranos and WeWork. Another tell–the NY Times and The Information estimated that Open AI lost $5 billion in 2024, it loses money on every copy of ChatGPT, and its revenue projections are near-absurd at $11.6 billion in 2025 and $100 billion by 2029. It totally ignores that every major player has an AI program, from Microsoft to Google. If you’re a fan of ChatGPT or need your eyes cleared around this type of AI, grab your cuppa and a bottle of your favorite pain reliever for Ed Zitron’s article, OpenAI Is A Bad Business. (Ed is an English tech writer, podcaster, and PR specialist)
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