M&A consolidation + integration continues with Health Catalyst-Upfront Healthcare, New Mountain-Access Healthcare and Machinify, SuperDial-Major Boost

The early line on 2025 M&A centers around dinner to snack-size deals that consolidate competitors (or potential competitors) and integrate capabilities–one of our Quirky Predictions:

Health Catalyst agrees to buy Upfront Healthcare. The deal between the two will add Upfront’s personalized patient activation and engagement platform to Health Catalyst’s healthcare management services centered on data and analytics, care management, and performance related services for healthcare organizations. No transaction cost was listed in the release, but the Form 8-K of 10 January details an initial payment of $86 million, composed of $41 million in cash and 5.7 million shares of Health Catalyst stock, plus an earnout of $33.4 million. By comparison, last August’s Lumeon Ltd. buy was for $40 million plus a $25 million potential earnout [TTA 15 Aug 2024]. The UK company’s Care Orchestration service is now integrated into the Health Catalyst suite of services which appears to be the plan for Upfront Healthcare’s services and staff. Closing is stated in the 8-K as occurring during Q1 2025 ending 31 March. Health Catalyst release

Private equity New Mountain Capital invests in Access Healthcare–and reportedly seeks to buy. Based in India with offices in Dallas, Access is a revenue cycle management company for about 150 hospitals and non-acute care practices.  Services include medical billing, coding, and accounts receivable management services. It processes about 400,000 transactions annually according to the Access release today. New Mountain’s investment is (again) for an undisclosed amount. Bloomberg reports that according to the usual insiders, New Mountain is negotiating an acquisition of Access for its portfolio in a transaction that could value Access at about $2 billion. This could close in a few weeks.

On Friday 10 January, New Mountain announced that it will acquire Machinify Inc., a provider of AI-powered software for healthcare payments, for an undisclosed amount. It will join a combined payments company serving over 60 health plans formed by New Mountain from earlier acquisitions The Rawlings Group, Apixio’s payment integrity business, and VARIS. The new company will take the Machinify name and have about $500 million in revenue. Closing is anticipated by end of Q1. Becker’s

Our snack-sized deal: SuperDial’s acquisition of MajorBoost. These two AI-intensive phone call automation providers occupy different parts of the healthcare phone call continuum. SuperDial automates provider to payer and RCM outbound healthcare phone calls for insurance verification, provider attestation for health plans, prior authorizations, credentialing, and more. MajorBoost also automates  provider calls to payers through waiting on hold and navigating their Interactive Voice Response (IVR) phone trees. Acquisition cost nor management transitions are not disclosed, but MajorBoost is listed on Crunchbase as pre-seed with only $350,000 in funding. SuperDial is listed as having $4.2 million in funding over three seed rounds. Release

News roundup: SleepioRx clears FDA 510(k), Caregility adds AI fall detection, Otsuka releases Rejoyn depression app, MD Ally’s $14M Series A, Alcove launches CallConnect247 (UK), Health Catalyst buys Lumeon for $40M

Big Health’s SleepioRx digital insomnia therapeutic gains 510(k) FDA clearance. The 90-day treatment is based on a prescription device delivering Cognitive Behavioral Therapy for Insomnia (CBT-I). The treatment adjunct is tailored to symptoms and provides daily sleep tracking, enables goal setting, and content for help falling asleep. Sleepio was originally developed in the UK (we covered in 2013!) but moved to San Francisco in 2015.  Their original Sleepio is marketed to employers and health plans to support treatment for sleep disorders and insomnia, along with other products for digital support for anxiety and depression. Their last funding was a Series C of $75 million raised in the palmy days of January 2022 and a year later acquired Limbix, provider of SparkRx, a depression management app targeted to adolescents. Release, Mobihealthnews

In my home state of NJ, Caregility announced an AI-powered fall detection upgrade to their acute care clinical observation platform. iObserver is used by hospital care teams for observation of patients at risk for falls or self-harm. Interestingly, the fall detection system is run on computer vision, which means it runs entirely on telehealth edge devices in the patient room with the AI capable of identifying and deriving information from objects and people in images and videos. Edge device use means that processing is done within the devices themselves, which eliminates bandwidth issues and upstreaming to the cloud, a failure point for privacy and as we now see, hacking risk. According to the release, the computer vision capability is available for use on every one of the more than 15,000 Caregility edge devices currently installed in hospitals around the globe. 

Otsuka Precision Health (OPH) launches Rejoyn digital therapeutic for depression.  As previewed earlier this summer [TTA 29 May], OPH launched Rejoyn, the first and sole prescription digital therapeutic cleared by the FDA for the adjunctive treatment of major depressive disorder (MDD) symptoms. Rejoyn was developed in conjunction with Click Therapeutics. It is for use by those aged 22+ on antidepressive medication. After being prescribed from the patient’s provider or Wheel Health, the Rejoyn app can be downloaded from major app stores after keying in an access code that is furnished to the provider by BlinkRx. It is currently being priced on a cash-pay basis at $50 for the six-week course, which will increase later to $200 for insurer coverage, though it is not yet covered. In a six-week trial, the use of Rejoyn reduced depression symptoms and improvement across multiple scales typically used by patients and clinicians to track depression improvement. The Otsuka release and commitment are significant as it’s also the first true involvement of a major pharmaceutical company in telemental health with a highly targeted clinical app that isn’t tied to one of their medications. It’s a long road with a lot of bumps, as Otsuka experienced with Proteus Digital Health’s smart pill tech for its Abilify MyCite, as well as failed companies like Pear and Babylon Health.  Release, Healthcare Dive

In funding news, emergency services telehealth company MD Ally now has $14 million in a Series A to add to its previous $11 million.  The raise was led by Frist Cressey Ventures, founded by Senator Bill Frist and Bryan Cressey, and anchored by General Catalyst, with participation from Techstars, Seae Ventures, Red & Blue Ventures, and Alumni Ventures. MD Ally’s value proposition centers on the non-emergency 911 call. Dispatchers and first responders, after determining the non-emergency status, can divert the call to other telehealth and community-based resources to assist the person plus a ‘care assistant’ for treatment plans and long term outcome management. MD Ally is currently in test in Phoenix and locations in Florida, Arizona, and California serving about 5 million patients. Release, Mobihealthnews

In UK related news:

Alcove expands TEC services with CallConnect247. It is a state-of-the-art 24/7 Alarm Receiving Centre (ARC) designed for communities and local authorities who are modernizing their call services for alarm management to incorporate virtual care and video welfare calls. It includes AI-powered and automated services to reduce false alarms and minimize the ‘white noise’ calls that often inundate traditional ARCs. It’s expected to grow coverage up to 8,000 users by October. Alcove release, Thiis.co.uk

Health Catalyst buys US/UK care management company Lumeon Ltd for $40 million. The $40 million purchase price was funded with a mix of $2.5 million in stock and $37.5 million in cash plus a potential recurring revenue-based earn-out of up to $25 million that, if achieved, would be paid solely in cash. (page 42 of SEC Form 10-Q). No information was provided concerning staff transitioning at Lumeon’s current HQs in Boston and London, where it adds a UK/EU footprint to Health Catalyst’s current data analytics and software businesses. Lumeon’s Care Orchestration automates care coordination processes for providers in outpatient, acute care, and post-acute settings.

Health Catalyst’s earnings were also reported in the 10-Q. Revenue for Q2 was up slightly from last year to $75.9 million, but burdened with a net loss of $13.5 million which was more than 50% reduced from Q2 2023’s $32.6 million. Q2 adjusted EBITDA improved to $7.5 million versus $3.5 million in prior year. Release, Mobihealthnews

Thursday news roundup: Teladoc’s cheery 2021, uncertain 2022; DOJ deadline UnitedHealth-Change Sunday, Cerner’s earnings swan song, Humana feels the activist lash; funding/M&A for WellSky, Health Catalyst, Minded, Automata, MediBuddy

Teladoc closed 2021 on Tuesday with record revenue of $2,032.7 billion, 86% over 2020. Visits were up 38% to 15.4 million with 53.4 million paid members. Q4 revenue was $554.2 million, 45% over Q4 2020, all of which exceeded investors’ expectations. Despite moving to a positive cash flow of $194 million, Teladoc is still not profitable, with full-year losses of almost $429 million and net loss per share of $2.73, somewhat lower than 2020.

The outlook for 2022 is less certain. For the full year, they anticipate a nice rise in revenues to $2.55 to $2.65 billion but a net loss of $1.40-1.60 per share, a little more than half 2021. Paid membership they project will grow to 54 to 56 million. The stock did take a bit of a bath due to market uncertainty with Ukraine-Russia and also a lowered forecast for first quarter. Teladoc earnings release, Healthcare Dive

DOJ has till Sunday 27 February to sue to stop the UnitedHealth acquisition of Change Healthcare. The acquirer and acquiree popped their 10-day notice on 17 February through their 8-K filing with the SEC. They had previously agreed to hold their closing until after 22 February. So if the DOJ is going to block the deal, as has been reported [TTA 17 Feb], they have from today to Sunday to do it–and courts aren’t open Saturday and Sunday. Healthcare Dive, Becker’s Health IT

Cerner’s 2021 swan song kind of… honked. Their net loss for the year was $8.8 million in 2021, compared with a net income of $76.9 million in 2020. Total net earnings topped $555 million in net earnings in 2021, down 29% from $780.1 million in 2020. Cerner release, Becker’s. Meanwhile, Oracle’s acquisition high hurdles continue [TTA 11 Feb] with the Feds, passing the first mark of the Hart-Scott-Rodino Act waiting period as of 11.59pm on 22 February. Still to go is the SEC review of Oracle’s tender offer for Cerner shares.  Becker’s Health IT

Humana joins Centene in insurers forced to change by activist shareholders. Starboard Value, a hedge fund, reached an agreement with Humana that Humana would add two independent board directors backed by Starboard. The first will be named on 21 April with the second to follow. They replace incumbents who will not stand for re-election. Starboard owns 1 million Humana or 0.79% of shares, but is well known for wielding them effectively to leverage change when the business hits a pothole–Humana’s $14 million Q4 loss and Medicare Advantage losses to both traditional rivals and insurtechs.

Humana is standing by its 2022 projection of 11-15%  growth but slowing performance in large areas such as Medicare Advantage. The company has stated that they will funnel funds back into Medicare Advantage through its “value creation plan”, which sounds very much like Centene’s “value creation office”. You’d think they’d come up with cleverer names and less anodyne ‘strategies’ for extracting savings from these lemons wherever possible, including selling off assets and “optimizing its workforce”. Reuters, Healthcare Dive

And quick takes from the US, UK, and India…

WellSky is acquiring TapCloud for an undisclosed amount. WellSky is a data analytics and care coordination automation company in the acute care and home care markets, with TapCloud a patient-facing engagement and communication platform. Release

Another data analytics company, Health Catalyst, is bolstering capabilities with its agreement to buy KPI Ninja, a provider of interoperability solutions and population health analytics. Purchase price and management transitions undisclosed, though from the release it appears that all KPI Ninjas will be onboarded.

Minded, a NYC-based mental health med management company, scored $25 million in seed funding from Streamlined Ventures, Link Ventures, The Tiger Fund, Unicorn Ventures, and private individuals. They provide direct-to-patient behavioral health medications through virtual evaluations with treatment plans without in-person visits, which are still unusual in psychiatry. At the present time, it is available only in New York, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Florida, Texas, Illinois, and California.

The founders are an interesting mix: David Ronick, who previously co-founded fintech unicorn Stash, Gaspard de Dreuzy, the co-founder of telehealth company Pager, and Dr. Chris Dennis, a multi-state licensed psychiatrist. Their rationale for founding the company does resonate with this Editor, whose brother is a board-certified MD psychiatrist, and who knows well 1) the challenges of remote therapy and 2) the scarcity of psychiatrists in most of the US beyond urban and academic areas. Release, TechCrunch, Mobihealthnews

In the UK, London-based Automata, which automates lab technology to shorten turnaround time and scale up lab capacity, along with deploying automation with contract research organizations, research labs, and blue-chip healthcare institutions, announced a $50 million (£36.8M) Series B raise. The round was led by Octopus Ventures with participation from returning investors Hummingbird, Latitude Ventures, ABB Technology Ventures, Isomer Capital as well as strategic investors including In-Q-Tel. Mobihealthnews

From Bangalore, India, virtual health company MediBuddy $125 million Series C funding was led by Quadria Capital and Lightrock India, bringing their total funding to over $191.1 million, a hallmark of a largely bootstrapped company. MediBuddy uses a smartphone app for 24/7 real-time video doctor consults and at-home lab testing covering the family and in more than eight languages, important in India which has hundreds of languages and local dialects. Great smiles on the founders too! Mobihealthnews

News Roundup of acquisitions, funding: Health Catalyst-Vitalware, Change Healthcare-Nucleus.io, Medtronic-Companion Medical, Cecelia Health; Proteus Health sale contested, but sold (updated 20 Aug)

Spin that lasso, round up the dogies, because we’re going to the rodeo! Data and analytics company Health Catalyst is acquiring Vitalware, which provides ‘chargemaster’ revenue workflow optimization and analytics SaaS technology to healthcare organizations. The deal is expected to come in at about $120 million with a $30 million earnout, funded by stock and cash, and close later this year.  Health Catalyst is on a buying tear, having acquired Healthfinch, a prescription refill management and visit planning platform to close care gaps, for $40 million in cash and shares in July. Health Catalyst went public in July 2019 and is trading at a market cap of nearly $1.3 bn (Unicorn Status isn’t what it used to be!). They’ve also inked a partnership deal with Northwell Health, the largest provider in New York State, to expand Northwell’s enterprise data and analytics capabilities with EHR integration. Health Catalyst releases on Vitalware, Healthfinch, and Northwell Health. Also FierceHealthcare.

Updated. Another major 2019 IPO, Change Healthcare, is acquiring Nucleus.io, a  cloud-based imaging and workflow platform, from San Diego-based developer NucleusHealth. This is a significant move, fitting into their Enterprise Imaging area and accelerating their implementation of a complete cloud-based, end-to-end solution within their Enterprise Imaging Network. Nucleus.io serves over 7,500 organizations and will add to Change Healthcare’s imaging customer base. Change is acquiring the Nucleus.io technology and team. NucleusHealth will continue to operate under its own name; they also operate a teleradiology platform, StatRad. Terms were not disclosed. Release. HealthcareITNews (Updated to clarify that the Change Healthcare acquisition is the Nucleus.io technology and not NucleusHealth the company)

Medtronic, which insiders dub the 9,000 lb. elephant of medical devices and remote patient management, has been quiet of late, but that doesn’t mean the elephant isn’t moving and sitting where it wants to sit. Continuing to build in diabetes care, they have just acquired Companion Medical, developer and marketer of the InPen, a insulin pen with a companion app, which was FDA cleared in 2016 and remains the only ‘smart insulin pen’ system. Eli Lilly and K2 Health Ventures were Companion’s major funders. Closing is expected within two months. Terms were not disclosed. Medtronic is clearly constructing a closed-loop diabetes management system through acquisitions such as Companion as well as diet-management startups Klue and NutrinoRelease, Mobihealthnews

And in diabetes management, Cecelia Health (the renamed Fit4D), scored a healthy $13 million in Series B funding. Rittenhouse Ventures and Endo Investors co-led the round, with participants Boston Millennia Partners, SustainVC, G100 Capital and others, for a total of $22.4 million in funding (Crunchbase). Fit4D developed clinical virtual coaching with certified diabetes educators, and partners with health plans, self-insured employers, medical device and pharma companies. The funding will go to developing a first-in-kind ‘Virtual Clinic’ for diabetes, which will offer continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) training, education on medication adherence and lifestyle and behavior change, mental health screening and counseling. These will be then supported by algorithms recommending necessary dosage and titration changes that will be reviewed and approved by Cecelia Health’s Certified Diabetes Care and Education Specialists (CDCES) and endocrinologists.  ReleaseMobihealthnews  A few days before the funding, Cecelia announced their participation with the Jaeb Center for Health Research Foundation in Tampa in their research to develop a virtual specialty clinic model, funded by a $5 million grant from the Helmsley Foundation. Release

Updated for Proteus sale. The troubled ‘smart pill’ pioneering company and one-time unicorn Proteus Digital Health, which filed for Chapter 11 (reorganization) bankruptcy on 16 June [TTA 17 June], planned to exit it with a $15 million ‘stalking horse’ deal with Otsuka Pharmaceuticals in advance of a bankruptcy auction. ‘Stalking horse’ deals set a floor at an auction and essentially set a minimum price. Investors, including Novartis and two Hong Kong funds, contested that fire sale earlier this week, claiming the sale to Otsuka was undervalued and if the IP and other assets were divided, a higher price would be obtained. One could understand their feelings, as Proteus raised nearly $500 million from them which essentially has vanished.

On Wednesday 19 August, the US Bankruptcy Court for the District of Delaware approved the sale to Otsuka, which was filed on Thursday. A key part of the hearings was Proteus’ investment banker, Raymond James & Associates, fruitlessly reaching out to over 240 potential buyers. What scared them off was Proteus’ burn rate–between $2 million and $2.5 million a month–with no clear prospect of positive cash flow or profitability (the latter quite elusive even in public companies). The purchase by Otsuka, which was deemed fair in the ruling with the opportunity for others to provide higher offers, covers information technology assets, intellectual property, and equipment, including equipment used to design and manufacture wearable sensors. Related court documents.

Otsuka was Proteus’ last major partnership for Abilify MyCite that ended suddenly in January. From the case documents schedule, this will be wrapped by end of September. FierceHealthcare 12 Aug, 27 July    STAT+ (paywalled) 20 Aug, HealthcareITNews

Health tech bubble watch: Alphabet-backed One Medical reportedly prepping for 2020 IPO

Another health tech company tests the IPO waters. One Medical, a primary care medical clinic group that digitizes the office experience by offering mobile apps with online scheduling, virtual consults, and same-day appointments–for an annual fee of $200 plus your insurance–is prepping for an IPO filing early next year. The sure sign is that it’s hired banks including J.P. Morgan and Morgan Stanley.

One Medical, backed by Alphabet, has 72 primary care practices in nine major US cities. It currently has a valuation of $1.5 to $2 bn based on private share sales and investment firm estimates. In 2008 it raised $220 million in a 2018 round led by The Carlyle Group for a total raise since 2007 of $408 million, backed by Alphabet’s GV venture arm and VC firm Benchmark. From an initial emphasis on individual enrollment and a ‘lite’ version of concierge medicine, it recently has concentrated on self-insured employers, corporate health plans, and service areas such as mental health and pediatrics. A big question for investors will be its valuation–tech or healthcare?

One Medical would join IPO brethren such as Health Catalyst, Livongo, Phreesia, and Change Healthcare, all of which had fairly strong openings and initial growth but have rollercoastered since then. Still, smaller IPOs such as Progyny, a company that manages fertility benefits for employees at large firms, have filed to IPO by the end of the year. Fierce Healthcare, CNBC, Business Insider

Health tech bubble watch: Rock Health’s mid-2019 funding assessment amid Big IPOs (updated: Health Catalyst, Livongo, more)

Updated for IPOs and analysis. The big time IPOs add extra bubbles to the digital health bath. Rock Health’s mid-year digital health market update continues its frothy way with a topline of $4.2 bn across 180 deals invested in digital health during the first half of 2019. 2019 is tracking to last year’s spending rate across fewer deals and is projected to end the year at $8.4 bn and 360 deals versus 2018’s $8.2 bn and 376 deals.

This year has been notable for Big IPOs, which have been absent from the digital health scene for three years. Exits come in three flavors: mergers and acquisitions (43 in their count so far), IPOs, and shutdowns (like Call9). IPOs are a reasonable outcome of last year’s trend of mega deals over $100 million and a more direct way for VCs to return their money to investors. So far in 2019, 30 percent of venture dollars went to these mega deals. (Rock Health tracks only US digital health deals over $2 million, so not a global picture.)

Reviewing the IPOs and pending IPOs to date:

  • Practice intake and patient management system Phreesia closed its NYSE IPO of 10.7 million shares at $18 per share on 22 July. The company earned approximately $140.6 million and the total gross proceeds to the selling stockholders were approximately $51.6 million for a value over $600 million. The market cap as of 26 July exceeded $949 million with shares rising past $26. Not bad for a company that raised a frugal $92.6 million over seven rounds since 2005.  Yahoo Finance, Crunchbase
  • Chronic condition management company Livongo’s picture is frothier. Their 22 July SEC filing has their IPO at 10.7 million shares at $24 to $26 per share offered on NASDAQ. This would total a $267.5 million raise and a $2.2 bn valuation. This is a stunning amount for a company with reportedly $55 million at the end of its most recent reporting period, increasing losses, and rising cash burn. Livongo raised $235 million since 2014 from private investors. Crunchbase 
  • Analytics company Health Catalyst’s IPO, which will probably take place this week on NASDAQ with Livongo’s, expects to float 7 million shares. Shares will be in a range of $24 to $25 with a raise in excess of $171 million. Their quarterly revenue is above $35 million with an operating loss of $9.8 million. Since 2008, they’ve raised $377 million. IPO analysts call both Livongo’s and Health Catalyst’s IPOs ‘essentially oversubscribed’. Investors Business Daily, Crunchbase
    • UPDATE: Both Livongo and Health Catalyst IPOs debuted on Thursday 25 July, with Livongo raising $356 million on an upsized 12.7 million shares at $28/share, while Health Catalyst’s 7 million shares brought in $182 million at $26/share.  Friday’s shares closed way up from the IPOs Livongo at $38.12 and $38.30 for Health Catalyst. Bubbly indeed! Investors Business Daily, Yahoo Finance
  • Change Healthcare is also planning a NASDAQ IPO at a recently repriced $13 per share, raising $557.7 million from 42.8 million shares. With the IPO, Change is also offering an equity raise and senior amortizing note to pay off its over $5 bn in debt. The excruciating details are here. Investors here are taking a much bigger chance than with the above IPOs, but the market action above will be a definite boost for Change.
  • Connected fitness device company Peloton, after raising $900 million, is scheduled to IPO soon after a confidential SEC filing. (UPDATED–Ed. Note: Included as in the Rock Health report; however this Editor believes that their continued inclusion of Peleton in digital health is specious and should be disregarded by those looking at actual funding trends in health tech.) Forbes

Rock Health itself raised the ‘bubble’ question in considering 2018 results. Their six points of a bubble are:

  1. Hype supersedes business fundamentals
  2. High cash burn rates
  3. High valuations decoupled from fundamentals
  4. Surge of cash from new investors
  5. Fraud or misuse of funds
  6. Unclear exit pathways

This Editor’s further analysis of these six points [TTA 21 Jan] wasn’t quite as reassuring as Rock Health’s. As in 2018, #2, #3, and #6 are rated ‘moderately bubbly’ with even Rock Health admitting that #2 had some added froth. #3–high valuations decoupled from fundamentals–is, in this Editor’s experience, the most daunting, as as it represents the widest divergence from reality and is the least fixable. The three new ‘digital health unicorns’ they cite are companies you’ve likely never heard of and in ‘interesting’ but not exactly mainstream niches in health tech except, perhaps, for the last: Zipline (medicine via drone to clinics in Rwanda and Ghana), Gympass (corporate employee gym passes), and Hims (prescription service and delivery).

Editor’s opinion: When there are too many companies with high valuations paired with a high ‘huh?’ quotient (#3)–that one is slightly incredulous at the valuation granted ‘for that??’–it’s time to take a step back from the screen and do something constructive like rebuild an engine or take a swim. Having observed or worked for companies in bubbles since 1980 in three industries– post-deregulation airlines in the 1980s, internet (dot.com) from the mid-1990s to 2001, first stage telecare/telehealth (2006-8), and healthcare today (Theranos/Outcome Health), a moderate bubble never, ever deflates–it expands, then bursts. The textbook #3 was the dot.com boom/bust; it not only fried internet companies but many vendors all over the US and kicked off a recession.

Rock Health also downplayed #5, fraud and misuse of funds. It’s hard to tell why with troubles around uBiome, Nurx, and Cleo in the news, Teladoc isn’t mentioned, but their lack of disclosure for a public company around critical NCQA accreditation only two months ago and their 2018 accounting problems make for an interesting omission [TTA 16 May]. (And absurdly, they excluded Theranos from 2018’s digital health category, yet include drones, gym passes, connected fitness devices…shall we go on?)

Rock Health’s analysis goes deeper on the private investment picture, particularly their interesting concept of ‘net liquidity overhang’, the amount of money where investors have yet to realize any return, as an indicator of the pressure investors have to exit. Pressure, both in healthcare and in early-stage companies, is a double-edged sword. There’s also a nifty annual IPO Watch List which includes the five above and why buying innovation works for both early-stage and mature healthcare companies. 

(Editor’s final note: The above is not to be excessively critical of Rock Health’s needed analysis, made available to us for free, but in line with our traditionally ‘gimlety’ industry view.)

Rock Health’s ‘Another record-breaking first half’ in digital health funding is actually–flat. (With a Soapbox Extra!)

The Breathless Tone was the clue. “It’s déjà vu for digital health, with yet another record breaking half for venture funding.” It was déjà vu, but not of the good sort. This Editor hates to assume, so she checked the year-to-year numbers–and first half 2018 versus 2017 broke no records:

  • 2018:  $3.4 bn invested in 193 digital health deals 
  • 2017: $3.5 bn invested in 188 digital health companies [TTA 11 July 17]

But ‘flat’ doesn’t make for good headlines. Digging into it, there are trends we should be aware of — and Rock Health does a great job of parsing–but a certain wobbliness carried over from 2017 even though the $5.8 bn year finished 32 percent up over 2016, analyzed here [TTA 5 Apr 18]. Their projection for 2018 full year is $6.9 bn and 386 deals.

Let’s take a look at their trends:

  • “The future of healthcare startups is inextricably linked to the strategies of large, enterprise-scale healthcare players—as customers, partners, investors, and even potential acquirers.” It’s no mistake that the big news this week was Amazon acquiring tiny, chronic-conditions specializing prescription supplier PillPack after a bidding war with Walmart for an astounding $1bn, making its 32 year-0ld founder very rich indeed and gaining Amazon pharmacy licenses in 49 states. (Prediction: Walmart will be pleased it lost the war as it will find its own solutions and alliances.) 
    • Enterprise healthcare players are cautious, even by Rock Health’s admission, but the big money is going into deals that vertically integrate and complement, at least for a time–for example, Roche’s purchase of Flatiron Health. And when it doesn’t work, it tends to end in a whimper–this May’s quiet sale by Aetna of Medicity to Health Catalyst for an undisclosed sum. Back in 2011, Aetna bought it for $500 million. (Notably not included in the Rock Health analysis, even though they track Health Catalyst and the HIE/analytics sector.)
  • The market is dependent on big deals getting bigger. If you are well-developed, in the right sector, and mature (as early-stage companies go), you have a better shot at that $100 million B, D, E or Growth funding round. B rounds actually grew a bit, with seed and A rounds dipping below 50 percent for the first time since 2012. 
  • The Theranos Effect is real. Unvalidated, hyped up claims don’t get $900 million anymore. In fact, there’s real concern that there’s a reluctance to fund innovation versus integration. The wise part of this is that large fundings went to companies validating through clinical trial results, FDA clearance (or closing in on it), and CDC blessing.
  • The dabbling investor is rapidly disappearing. 62 percent of investors in first half had made prior investments in digital health including staying with companies in following rounds.
  • Digital health companies, like others, are staying private longer and avoiding public markets. Exits remain on par with 2017 at 60. Speculation is that Health Catalyst and Grand Rounds are the next IPOs, but there hasn’t been one since iRhythm in October 2016. The Digital Health public company index is showing a lot less pink these days as well, which may be an encouraging sign.
  • Behavioral health is finally getting its due. “Behavioral health startups received more funding this half than in any prior six-month period, with a cumulative $273M for 15 unique companies (nearly double the $137M closed in H1 2016, the previous record half for funding of behavioral health companies). Of these 15 companies, more than half have a virtual or on-demand component.”

Keep in mind that Rock Health tracks deals over $2 million in value from venture capital, excluding government and grant funding. They omit non-US deals, even if heavily US funded. 

Their projection for 2018 full year is $6.9 bn and 386 deals. Will their projection pan out? Only the full year will tell!

A Soapbox Extra!

Rock Health, like most Left Coast companies, believes that Vinod Khosla is a semi-deity. This Editor happens to not be convinced, based on predictions that won’t pan out, like machines replacing 80 percent of doctors; making statements such as VCs have less sexual harassment than other areas, and even banning surfers off his beach. He was at a Rock Health forum recently and made this eye-rolling (at least to this Editor) statement:

Is there one area in the last 30 years where the initial innovation was driven by an institution of any sort? I couldn’t think of a single area where innovation—large innovation—came from a big institution. Retailing wasn’t disrupted by Walmart, it was by Amazon. Media wasn’t changed by CBS or NBC, it was by YouTube and Twitter. Cars weren’t transformed by Volkswagen and GM—and people said you can’t do cars in startups—but then came Tesla.

Other than making a point that Clayton Christensen made a decade or more ago, the real nugget to be gained here is that formerly innovative companies that get big don’t grow innovation (though 3M tends to be an exception, and Motorola didn’t do too badly with the cell phone). They can buy it–and always have. 

Go back a few more decades and all of these companies were disrupters–and bought out (or bankrupted) other disrupters. CBS and NBC transformed entertainment through popularizing radio and then TV. VW created the small car market in the US and saved the German auto industry. GM innovated both horizontally (acquiring car companies, starting other brands) and integrated vertically (buying DELCO which created the first truly workable self-starting ignition system in 1912).

YouTube? Bought by innovator Google. Twitter? Waiting, wanting to be bought. Innovation? Khosla is off the beam again. Without Walmart, there would be no Amazon–and Amazon’s total lifetime profit fits nicely into one year of Walmart’s. Tesla is not innovative–it is a hyped up version of electric car technology in a styled package that occasionally blows up and remains on the borderline of financial disaster. (Model 3, where art thou?)

I’d argue that Geisinger, Mayo Clinic, and Intermountain Healthcare have been pretty innovative over the last 30 years. Mr. Khosla, read Mr. Christensen again!

Rock Health: 1st Q funding deals up nearly 50%, approaches $1bn (US)

[grow_thumb image=”https://telecareaware.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/04/RockHealthChart1.001-1200×845.jpeg” thumb_width=”150″ /]Funding’s up, but the digital darlings have changed. The stock market and tech sector may have been uncertain kicking off 2016, but digital health wasn’t. Rock Health’s first report for 2016 exudes optimism. Compared to the same quarter in 2015, funding increased nearly 50 percent to $981.3 million, the highest amount since 2011. But the devil may be in the details:

  • Five deals accounted for 56 percent of the volume (in descending order: Flatiron Health (clinical intel for cancer care), Jawbone, HealthLine (consumer health info), Health Catalyst (data warehousing) and Higi, an odd little kiosk + consumer engagement program nationally placed in Rite Aid stores–odd enough to gain $40 million in its first venture round
  • Seed and Series A raises were still well over half–54 percent, over the 50 percent in 2015
  • Later stage deals (Series D and above) shrank to 13 percent in 2016 from 35 percent
  • Top categories also demonstrated the fickleness of funding favorites. Only two categories in the top six were carry-overs from 2015: wearables (driven by Jawbone) and consumer engagement. New favorites: analytics/big data, population health management, consumer health information and EHR/clinical workflow.
  • There were no venture-backed IPOs in the quarter, and public company performance was down (9 percent y/y)

The new picture favors what to do with the data–finding trends and putting them to use both consumer and clinical sides. And exits were popular as well: 187 was the Rock Health count, with fitness wear Asics‘ acquisition of the Runkeeper fitness wearable and provider One Medical acquiring the Rise app. Will the trend continue in 2nd quarter? Stay tuned….Rock Health Q1 Update

Better’s fast fail, ending health assistance service 30 Oct

[grow_thumb image=”https://telecareaware.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/10/Better.png” thumb_width=”150″ /]Better is sadly not. This two-year old service that provided personal health assistance, including a real, live health assistant, to guide members through health questions, the thickets of insurance claims, finding doctors and specialists, apps and more, announced earlier this week that it was ending operations as of 30 October. While it was announced via their Twitter feed on Tuesday, most of the industry learned of it through Stephanie Baum’s article in MedCityNews today. Better formally debuted only 16 months ago [TTA 23 Apr 14] and at the time this Editor felt that it was a service in the right direction, a kind of ‘concierge medicine for the masses’ needed when individuals have to direct more and more of their own care.

A solid start, as our Readers have seen, does not guarantee success, but this fast fail is still fairly shocking. A concern at the time was the pricing for the full service model at $49/month, which later became the family price (individuals were $19.99/month). CEO/co-founder Geoff Clapp was among the most Grizzled of Health Tech Pioneers; he had been a co-founder of Health Hero/Health Buddy from 1998 to its sale to Bosch Healthcare, a very long pull in telehealth, and he had spent much of his post-Health Hero time generously advising other startups. Yet despite the involvement of blue chip Mayo Clinic as a service provider, its financial backing from their investment arm and socially-oriented VC Social+Capital Partnership, it managed to raise only its initial seed funding of $5 million (CrunchBase).

So what happened? (more…)