HLTH, which was in Las Vegas last week (19-22 Oct), has moved from an ‘also-ran’ to a lead dog in healthcare conferences for the innovation oriented set, along with sister conference ViVE (with CHIME) for digital health in February. They offer an alternative to the broadly tech-focused CES and the HIMSS leviathan, which seems to have lost a bit of its mojo since HIMSS turned the management keys over to Informa.
Like all industry meetings, there were the usual rash of announcements, panel meeting interpretations, and tea leaves reading by reporters on the scene. Both MedCity News and Healthcare Dive covered HLTH. MedCity News’ Katie Adams had seven hot takes resulting from conversations she had with various leaders from health systems, digital health, and VCs/investors. They were candid and as she put it, ‘refreshingly honest’. Your Editor’s comments follow.
AI could be worsening health disparities. This came from FDA commissioner Robert Califf who believes that health systems are using AI to segregate profitable patients from those who are not. “What we need is for AI to bring up the people who are currently disadvantaged.” Absent any proof at this stage that health systems are actually doing this while they are in at best early stages of attempting to integrate AI into an absurdly complicated network of systems without breaking them, this strikes me as Chicken Little-ism and Finger Wagging.
Retail companies should stop trying to be something they’re not. A hospital CEO is quoted as stating that retailers are trying to apply their model to the healthcare space because healthcare delivery is wholesale. This deduction has some truth and then veers into the woods. Yes, Walgreens and CVS tried to apply a transactional model to primary care and got into Big Trouble. From the customer (patient) perspective, that person wants to get in, get fixed or examined–and get out with maximum speed and convenience. This didn’t happen. Will Amazon, a far bigger retailer, pull this off with One Medical brick-and-mortars, or run it as a membership ‘division’ linked with Amazon Prime? Their building of relationships with 20+systems like Cleveland Clinic for specialty care referrals (and in return primary care referrals) indicates they have the flexibility that Walgreens and CVS lack.
And since when is healthcare wholesale? It surely isn’t to the end user, the patient. This mindset is puzzling.
Strict abortion laws are likely already resulting in economic consequences. It seems that states with few to no limits on abortion are attracting OB/GYN residents and practices versus states with restrictions. This is a sad commentary on both the state of medical practice and public perception in dealing with human lives. There are alternatives.
Many investors have realized they backed products, not companies. The bloated investments and valuations that we saw in 2021 and 2022 (in actuality, 2020 into early 2022) could not be sustained. Well, yes, and the bubble burst last year. There was more to this. Easy IPOs through SPACs and the Fear of Missing Out (FOMO) led otherwise sensible retailers into buying brick-and-mortar primary care practices as extensions of their stores, investors into another iteration of ‘value-based care’, copycat virtual mental health providers, and digital health businesses that were essentially sinkholes, like Babylon Health. The companies may have had a good product or a nucleus of same. Then investors woke up and started to think about how impossible their exits were.
Healthcare leaders should remember they’re in the customer service industry. Exactly the opposite of the ‘wholesale’ delivery model. Patients are customers–but a special type of customer.
Next year, exit activity will likely still be lifeless in the digital health space. “Private equity firms might start acquiring more healthcare businesses.” Agreed. We’ll be seeing a lot more mergers of convenience to rationalize services and in some cases, survival–below the line of DOJ/FTC scrutiny.
We need to stop treating AI like a buzzword. In this view, it’s a tool that can transform healthcare delivery and make it better for both providers and consumers in speed and efficiency. In this Editor’s view, AI still needs to prove it can do this in a way that it is trustworthy, secure, and easily integrated into present systems.
Healthcare Dive highlighted a report by Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) and a Monday panel discussion on the decline of healthcare sector funding after the highs it reached during the Covid pandemic. It was a ‘sugar high’ that drew in non-healthcare sector “tourist” investors. Even at that time, it was not considered sustainable. Now the funding buzzwords are ‘pruning’ and ‘consolidation’. Investors are also looking for senior leaders with financial acumen and for companies that can create a fast path to profitability. SVB’s Megan Scheffel said that “One opportunity is for private equity firms to buy up multiple companies to create a platform” and create synergies. However, as this Editor has previously noted, this is yet another area where the DOJ and FTC are also scrutinizing.
Big Tech–Microsoft, Google, Amazon, GE Healthcare and Nvidia–also saw opportunities at HLTH to promote their AI offerings, emphasizing use cases and partnerships with health systems, to solve a range of problems in documentation and scheduling, creating platform solutions customized to a specific health system. The big questions out there are readiness of clinicians to use the tools and how to offer them to systems responsibly. The tech providers do step back from telling health systems what to do. As Google’s Greg Corrado put it in the Healthcare Dive article, “It does need to be pioneered by healthcare systems that are willing and able to do the research on the ground, and not every health system can do that.” Exactly, as well as the implementation research and modifications.
One last thought–it was surprising how little news was generated at HLTH, versus before and after.
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