
A bad wake up this morning for too many people. To absolutely no one’s surprise to close out this month, including Mr. Market (right), Oracle Corporation laid off an estimated 20-30,000 staff globally, or a reported 18% of its 162,000 employees. Emails signed by “Oracle Leadership” went to affected employees as early as 6 AM US Eastern Time.
It is the largest layoff in the company’s history, by a company not shy about rolling layoffs. It was rumored to be this extensive at the top of this month with the departure of five key executives and a TD Cowen analysis [TTA 6 Mar]. As is typical, Oracle stock on the NYSE rose close to 4% as of 1pm ET today.
What we know:
There were no HR calls, no videos, no manager calls, no advance warning, which is the current cold and human-free style one now expects. Many surviving managers up to senior levels weren’t told in advance of team layoffs, based on Reddit postings.
As anticipated, Oracle Health, as part of the RHS area, was hard hit with 30% layoffs, based on press reports and Reddit/The Layoff.
Early reports (to be updated) out of primarily India, where Oracle employs many thousands in IT and development, indicated the layoffs hit hardest in these areas–FTA RollingOut via Times of India:
- RHS (Revenue and Health Sciences) — employees described a reduction in force of at least 30%, with 16 or more engineers from individual business units cut in a single action. (Editor’s Note: this includes the Oracle Health EHR team which was the former Cerner)
- SVOS (SaaS and Virtual Operations Services) — similarly reported a 30% or greater reduction, with manager-level roles included in the sweep.
- NetSuite’s India Development Centre (IDC) — cuts spanned project management, individual contributor, and manager roles across multiple seniority levels.
The terse email informs employees that “we have made the decision to eliminate your role as part of a broader organizational change. As a result, today is your last working day.” Employees are also instructed to provide their personal email in order to receive FAQs and separation documents to sign off via DocuSign, as their Oracle emails will be deactivated “soon”. They are also warned against downloading any Oracle “confidential information”. Reports indicated that Mac laptops have new tracking software to determine violators, and that access to systems was already disconnected for those released. Full email text is available on Business Insider.
Some employees noted April 3 as their formal last working day, with a one-month “garden leave” period to follow. Based on TheLayoff postings, some in the US have later dates such as June 1.
Details for India employees indicate that the normal “N+2” severance package of salary paid in months=years of service was offered. Unvested stock (e.g. RSUs) was lost. Those with vested stock still had access via Fidelity.
Many of those laid off in the US are in Kansas City Missouri (the former Cerner HQ), and have 10-20 years with the company. Most dates are before vesting of unvested RSUs. Slack counts indicate at least 10,000 gone, and likely more. Layoffs also took place in Canada and Europe, according to reports.
US labor laws about layoffs are at two levels, Federal and state; the latter varies. To this Editor’s knowledge, no Federally required WARN (Worker Adjustment and Retraining Notification) notices nor information under OWBPA (Older Workers Benefit Protection Act, which applies when employees over 40 years old are laid off) have been filed. Federal WARN starts with 50 or more employees 60 days before a plant closing or mass layoff. Many states have their own WARN laws and triggers.
What does this mean?
Oracle has taken on a massive debt load that has halved the stock from last year’s highs. For starters, Oracle took on $58 billion in new debt in just two months. Without exception in these reports, the need for layoffs and restructuring are being laid at the feet of the debt required for an extraordinary and costly change in company direction–from a provider of rapidly eroding SaaS to cloud computing services and AI datacenter contracts. This is despite a strong Q3 and year projections [TTA 11 Mar] which had some but not enough positive effect. It is not just the debt load dragging down Oracle though–it is the time that these datacenters take to build out, get online, and generate cash flow.
TD Cowen’s report, covered in our 5 February article, nailed this quandary to the max. Oracle has entered into multiple contracts with OpenAI, Meta, and Nvidia. Lenders have doubled their interest rates on these Oracle projects to near non-investment grade levels, Oracle’s credit default swap (CDS) spreads have tripled, and private datacenters for lease are scarce because of limited market financing. Oracle can transfer some of these buildout costs to clients, but takes on risk for the bulk of it. In this Editor’s view, Oracle trapped itself into a classic squeeze. FTA: If the company doesn’t build the datacenters, it risks falling behind its massive strategy to dominate the AI datacenter business. Yet the price of this is to abandon its massive investment in healthcare, a linchpin strategy, and the customers there.
Oracle is in a tight spot without a lot of options other than more unattractive debt that further depresses the stock price. Their buildouts of datacenters, such as Stargate in Abilene, Texas, have been fraught with conflicts–the long ‘taffy pull’ of buildouts versus the annual development of ever more powerful chips that AI clients want before cash flow gets going. The difference in timelines is the killer [TTA 10 Mar]. And I suspect that Nvidia doesn’t take exchanges on their chips, once purchased.
Their largest shareholder with 40% of voting stock, executive chairman/CTO/founder Larry Ellison, still took his dividend. Unlike other founders in the past, he hasn’t mortgaged a yacht, an island, or sold a share to help stake the company in this transformation [TTA 6 Mar]. Instead, he seems to be focused on supporting his son’s Skyhorse media endeavors, the latest being the besting of Netflix in buying Warner Bros. He is also 81. These are factors to investors. Our Readers will recall that in 2022, Michael Neidorff, 25-year CEO of Centene, was forced out at age 79 by an activist shareholder group (Politan Capital, later famous for upending Masimo) that referred to both his age and tenure.
One does wonder how many of the laid off employees had specific skills that would have been useful in changing over to cloud/AI. It’s doubtful that Oracle had any process to evaluate individual competencies or capabilities for future fit. Having gone through a mass layoff when Centene absorbed WellCare Health Plans, this Editor knows first hand that companies do not evaluate individuals–they cut based on category, place, title, compensation, and other factors. Survivors either are in the right place, category, or sprint through internal contacts to another berth. This post on LinkedIn by a company that has created a ‘verification infrastructure’ to do this evaluation, instead of layoffs “based on broad assumptions about job categories rather than verified assessments of individual capability” makes you wonder whether an IT giant like Oracle even considered this approach before spending easily half a billion dollars on ‘restructuring’.
What are the consequences of fewer people at Oracle Health? This month (April), the massive 13 facility EHRM rollout with the VA begins. And Congress, by this late spring and summer, which is budget time, will be turning the full force of scrutiny on Oracle if it doesn’t go as smooth as 30 momme silk satin. And what will it mean to health system clients and prospects? Where is their reassurance that when an IT person emails or picks up the phone with a problem, that there will be someone at Oracle Health who even knows them? Based on Reddit posts, some employees were doing their onsite support jobs when they got their termination notices and had to leave. “Is anybody there? Does anybody care?” may be the cry of hospital IT managers. That’s not good for sales or account teams…if anyone at Oracle cares about new sales and retentions.
Is Health, once the focus of Oracle’s Big Transformation, now just a used and broken toy? What’s the future of Oracle Health if the strategy is AI 24/7 and EHRs and healthcare system SaaS just do not fit the picture anymore?
Updated 31 March PM: Oracle is not admitting the cuts or the volume of them publicly. CNBC’s sources are stating only that the cuts are ‘in the thousands’. This corresponds to the early reports in Business Insider (link above). This Editor wonders if they ever will beyond a filing with the SEC. Also Wall Street Journal. One wonders how long they can keep mum to customers and shareholders.
In addition, if WARN notices aren’t filed at locations with 50+ employees and layoffs aren’t delayed for 60 days, expect blowback at the US and state department of labor levels plus class action lawsuits. Oracle may actually sneak under this particular wire with dispersed locations and remote workers. Updated 2 April: A WARN notice was filed in Missouri, home to most of Oracle Health’s employees at the Kansas City campus. 539 employees have been laid off effective 26 May-1 June, which fulfills the 60 day notice requirement. Reportedly they are on payroll but not working. As of now, Oracle will keep the campus open. We previously noted that KC gave Cerner and later Oracle considerable incentives to build that campus. Fox 4 Kansas City
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